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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Aaron Davis III

Hampton · Guard · Senior · 6-7 · #1

Transfer from Bryant

#2986Overall
-0.28Projected impact
  • #1671 guard in the country
  • #1458 in the transfer portal
  • #2139 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 17 minutes a game) at Hampton, as a secondary scorer and floor spacer: a smaller role than he had at Bryant (23.3 min).

Projected minutes
17
Spot in the rotation
#5

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Bryant: 30 games, 16 starts, 23.3 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game9.554thMM #321
  • Rebounds per game3.569thMM #220
  • Assists per game0.711thMM #710
  • Steals per game1.065thMM #229
  • Blocks per game0.487thMM #67
  • Turnovers per game1.159thMM #352
  • Field goal %40.2%(94-234)37thMM #496
  • 3-point %36.3%(58-160)67thMM #243
  • Free throw %67.2%(39-58)19thMM #655

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate22.5%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating106.336thMM #471

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating108.955thMM #373

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %54.9%53rdMM #354

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %52.6%67thMM #257

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.676thMM #777

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %21.9%52ndMM #419

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate24.8%33rdMM #553

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.09245thMM #393

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Aaron Davis III

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Jack Graham

    Marist · G · Senior

    79%match

    Transfer from New Hampshire

    -0.37 impact · 11.2 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast

    Compare
  • Deng Garang

    Illinois State · G · Junior

    72%match

    Transfer from Le Moyne

    -0.15 impact · 10.8 pts · 5.2 reb · 1 ast

    Compare
  • Emanuel Richards

    Eastern Michigan · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Longwood

    -0.20 impact · 9.7 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Randall Pettus II

    Elon · G · Senior

    70%match

    Returning

    -0.24 impact · 11 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Davante Hackett

    Tennessee Tech · G · Senior

    69%match

    Transfer from Stonehill

    -0.16 impact · 13.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • Jayden Cooper

    East Tennessee State · G · Senior

    69%match

    Transfer from South Alabama

    -0.17 impact · 11.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).