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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Aden Holloway

Alabama · Guard · Senior · 6-1 · #2

Returning

#16Overall
+2.83Projected impact
  • #5 guard in the country

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 25 minutes a game) at Alabama, as a secondary scorer and lead playmaker. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
25
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Alabama: 28 games, 27 starts, 28.4 minutes a game.

  • Points per game16.892nd
  • Rebounds per game2.849th
  • Assists per game3.889th
  • Steals per game0.629th
  • Blocks per game0.011th
  • Turnovers per game1.536th
  • Field goal %48.1%(151-314)87th
  • 3-point %43.8%(74-169)97th
  • Free throw %86.4%(95-110)89th

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

  • Usage rate23.6%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating134.599th

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating118.57th

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %65.0%98th

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %59.9%96th

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover2.5993rd

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %10.4%8th

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate35.0%63rd

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.18195th

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Aden Holloway

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Carson Johnson

    Denver · G · Junior

    81%match

    Returning

    +0.53 impact · 20.1 pts · 1.8 reb · 3 ast

    Compare
  • Jordan Frison

    Wichita State · G · Senior

    80%match

    Transfer from Chattanooga

    +0.49 impact · 16.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 4 ast

    Compare
  • Terrence Hill Jr.

    Tennessee · G · Junior

    80%match

    Transfer from VCU

    +1.70 impact · 15 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Barrington Hargress

    Colorado · G · Senior

    79%match

    Returning

    +1.55 impact · 14.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 4.5 ast

    Compare
  • Isaiah Johnson

    Texas · G · Sophomore

    77%match

    Transfer from Colorado

    +1.67 impact · 16.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 3 ast

    Compare
  • Colby Garland

    Georgia Tech · G · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from San José State

    +0.84 impact · 20.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 4.6 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).