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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

AJ Casey

Evansville · Forward · Senior · 6-9 · #23

Returning

#1095Overall
+0.18Projected impact
  • #465 forward in the country
  • #527 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 29 minutes a game) at Evansville, as a secondary scorer. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
29
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Evansville: 32 games, 20 starts, 29.7 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game13.588thMM #28
  • Rebounds per game5.979thMM #67
  • Assists per game2.089thMM #30
  • Steals per game1.294thMM #18
  • Blocks per game0.661stMM #137
  • Turnovers per game2.08thMM #431
  • Field goal %51.3%(161-314)59thMM #173
  • 3-point %33.9%(21-62)67thMM #137
  • Free throw %73.8%(90-122)71stMM #120

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate24.4%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating110.440thMM #238

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating110.332ndMM #307

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %58.9%59thMM #153

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %54.6%51stMM #206

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.9857thMM #173

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %32.8%49thMM #238

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate38.9%50thMM #217

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.11454thMM #165

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like AJ Casey

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Baye Ndongo

    Pittsburgh · F · Senior

    77%match

    Transfer from Georgia Tech

    +0.94 impact · 11.8 pts · 8.1 reb · 2.4 ast

    Compare
  • Paul Djobet

    Texas State · F · Senior

    75%match

    Transfer from Omaha

    +0.53 impact · 17.4 pts · 6.6 reb · 1.9 ast

    Compare
  • Andrew Alekseyenko

    Colgate · F · Sophomore

    75%match

    Returning

    +0.41 impact · 14.7 pts · 6.7 reb · 2.4 ast

    Compare
  • Amani Hansberry

    Virginia Tech · F · Senior

    75%match

    Returning

    +1.60 impact · 14.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 2.4 ast

    Compare
  • Petar Majstorovic

    Pepperdine · F · Junior

    75%match

    Transfer from Long Beach State

    +0.43 impact · 14.4 pts · 6.4 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • Francis Folefac

    Syracuse · F · Sophomore

    74%match

    Transfer from Siena

    +0.52 impact · 11.3 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.2 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).