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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Anthony Smith III

Winthrop · Guard · Sophomore · 6-1 · #3

Transfer from North Dakota

#1514Overall
+0.04Projected impact
  • #761 guard in the country
  • #846 in the transfer portal
  • #854 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 16 minutes a game) at Winthrop, as a secondary scorer: a role like the one he had at North Dakota (17.3 min).

Projected minutes
16
Spot in the rotation
#4

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at North Dakota: 33 games, 0 starts, 17.3 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game7.539thMM #450
  • Rebounds per game2.128thMM #556
  • Assists per game2.264thMM #246
  • Steals per game0.629thMM #532
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game1.253rdMM #393
  • Field goal %46.4%(90-194)81stMM #143
  • 3-point %22.7%(10-44)7thMM #774
  • Free throw %82.9%(58-70)78thMM #149

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate23.4%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating111.654thMM #320

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating113.326thMM #601

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %55.2%55thMM #342

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %49.0%41stMM #453

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.8072ndMM #196

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %30.4%81stMM #185

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate36.1%66thMM #288

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.11260thMM #250

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Anthony Smith III

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Sebastian Akins

    Washington State · G · Junior

    71%match

    Transfer from Wake Forest

    +0.15 impact · 5.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.9 ast

    Compare
  • Kevon Vanderhorst

    Iona · G · Senior

    69%match

    Transfer from Drexel

    +0.03 impact · 9.3 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.9 ast

    Compare
  • Micah Tucker

    Grand Canyon · G · Sophomore

    69%match

    Transfer from Georgia State

    -0.07 impact · 13.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 3 ast

    Compare
  • Brandin Cummings

    Memphis · G · Junior

    68%match

    Transfer from Pittsburgh

    +0.48 impact · 12.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare
  • Dre Kindell

    Drake · G · Senior

    68%match

    Transfer from Wichita State

    +0.38 impact · 5.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.2 ast

    Compare
  • Xavier Abreu

    Charleston · G · Sophomore

    68%match

    Transfer from Northeastern

    +0.06 impact · 12.6 pts · 2.7 reb · 1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).