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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Braeden Smith

Notre Dame · Guard · Senior · 6-0 · #3

Transfer from Gonzaga

#144Overall
+1.29Projected impact
  • #61 guard in the country
  • #61 in the transfer portal

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 23 minutes a game) at Notre Dame, as a lead playmaker: a bigger role than he had at Gonzaga (17.1 min).

Projected minutes
23
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Gonzaga: 35 games, 18 starts, 17.1 minutes a game.

  • Points per game5.120th
  • Rebounds per game2.231st
  • Assists per game3.687th
  • Steals per game1.065th
  • Blocks per game0.011th
  • Turnovers per game1.159th
  • Field goal %46.7%(64-137)82nd
  • 3-point %33.3%(17-51)46th
  • Free throw %80.5%(33-41)68th

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

  • Usage rate15.8%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating121.083rd

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating95.099th

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %57.4%71st

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %52.9%69th

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover3.3498th

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %14.3%19th

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate29.9%49th

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.18796th

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Braeden Smith

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Conrad Martinez

    High Point · G · Senior

    78%match

    Returning

    +0.86 impact · 8.8 pts · 1.4 reb · 3.3 ast

    Compare
  • Cayden Boozer

    Duke · G · Sophomore

    76%match

    Returning

    +1.42 impact · 7.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.9 ast

    Compare
  • Mateo Esmeraldo

    Lipscomb · G · Senior

    69%match

    Returning

    +0.98 impact · 9.9 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.7 ast

    Compare
  • Dallin Hall

    Utah State · G · Senior

    67%match

    Transfer from Virginia

    +1.25 impact · 5.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 4.4 ast

    Compare
  • Ace Valentine

    Robert Morris · G · Senior

    67%match

    Transfer from UMBC

    +0.62 impact · 11.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 3.9 ast

    Compare
  • Jordan Ross

    California · G · Senior

    66%match

    Transfer from Georgia

    +0.72 impact · 6.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.3 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).