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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Carmelo Adkins

Rice · Guard · Junior · 6-4 · #14

Transfer from South Carolina Upstate

#2646Overall
-0.17Projected impact
  • #1427 guard in the country
  • #1314 in the transfer portal
  • #1832 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 21 minutes a game) at Rice, as a secondary scorer: a smaller role than he had at South Carolina Upstate (29.9 min).

Projected minutes
21
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at South Carolina Upstate: 32 games, 15 starts, 29.9 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game13.580thMM #108
  • Rebounds per game4.990thMM #65
  • Assists per game1.543rdMM #422
  • Steals per game0.957thMM #289
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game2.017thMM #705
  • Field goal %38.5%(137-356)24thMM #618
  • 3-point %33.0%(62-188)44thMM #434
  • Free throw %80.7%(96-119)69thMM #235

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate24.5%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating104.230thMM #537

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating105.774thMM #209

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %52.9%38thMM #479

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %47.2%29thMM #564

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.779thMM #737

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %21.7%51stMM #427

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate33.4%59thMM #344

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.10050thMM #333

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Carmelo Adkins

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Jonah Hinton

    Rhode Island · G · Senior

    78%match

    Returning

    -0.19 impact · 12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare
  • Jaxson Bell

    Furman · G · Junior

    74%match

    Transfer from Army

    -0.12 impact · 12.2 pts · 5 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • Armoni Zeigler

    Boston College · G · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from Ball State

    -0.17 impact · 12.5 pts · 5.1 reb · 3.3 ast

    Compare
  • Davante Hackett

    Tennessee Tech · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Stonehill

    -0.16 impact · 13.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • Mark Drone

    Texas State · G · Senior

    72%match

    Returning

    -0.14 impact · 14.2 pts · 3.3 reb · 3 ast

    Compare
  • Jayme Mitchell Jr.

    Hampton · G · Senior

    70%match

    Transfer from Jackson State

    -0.38 impact · 14 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).