TeamsPlayers
Statboy Sports
← Player Rankings
Cal Poly logo

College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Cayden Ward

Cal Poly · Guard · Junior · 6-6 · #14

Returning

#1201Overall
+0.14Projected impact
  • #605 guard in the country
  • #597 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 28 minutes a game) at Cal Poly, as a secondary scorer. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
28
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Cal Poly: 33 games, 31 starts, 29.4 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game14.585thMM #75
  • Rebounds per game6.398thMM #11
  • Assists per game1.647thMM #387
  • Steals per game0.848thMM #371
  • Blocks per game0.263rdMM #212
  • Turnovers per game2.92ndMM #824
  • Field goal %45.8%(157-343)77thMM #183
  • 3-point %31.0%(53-171)31stMM #550
  • Free throw %75.3%(113-150)45thMM #428

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate24.0%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating106.136thMM #478

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating111.736thMM #513

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %58.7%79thMM #159

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %53.5%73rdMM #212

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.563rdMM #815

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %27.8%74thMM #234

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate43.7%81stMM #161

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.08740thMM #441

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Cayden Ward

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Ben Bradford

    Charleston · G · Junior

    78%match

    Transfer from Charlotte

    +0.22 impact · 13.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare
  • Rob Dockery

    La Salle · G · Junior

    76%match

    Returning

    +0.40 impact · 12.5 pts · 6.1 reb · 2.3 ast

    Compare
  • LeJuan Watts

    Washington · G · Senior

    75%match

    Transfer from Texas Tech

    +0.98 impact · 11.8 pts · 6 reb · 2.4 ast

    Compare
  • Marqui Worthy Jr.

    San Diego · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from UC Riverside

    0.00 impact · 16.2 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.9 ast

    Compare
  • KJ Younger

    Texas State · G · Sophomore

    72%match

    Transfer from UNC Greensboro

    +0.09 impact · 15.1 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Angel Montas Jr.

    Toledo · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from UMass Lowell

    +0.08 impact · 15.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.7 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).