TeamsPlayers
Statboy Sports
← Player Rankings
Virginia logo

College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Chance Mallory

Virginia · Guard · Sophomore · 5-10 · #1

Returning

#59Overall
+1.82Projected impact
  • #25 guard in the country

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 25 minutes a game) at Virginia, as a lead playmaker. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
25
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Virginia: 36 games, 0 starts, 24.1 minutes a game.

  • Points per game9.353rd
  • Rebounds per game3.773rd
  • Assists per game3.485th
  • Steals per game1.693rd
  • Blocks per game0.138th
  • Turnovers per game1.159th
  • Field goal %42.4%(98-231)54th
  • 3-point %34.5%(39-113)54th
  • Free throw %77.5%(100-129)54th

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

  • Usage rate19.3%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating129.497th

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating99.994th

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %58.2%77th

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %50.9%55th

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover2.9597th

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %24.1%61st

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate55.8%93rd

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.20898th

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Chance Mallory

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Khaden Bennett

    Wyoming · G · Senior

    77%match

    Returning

    +0.87 impact · 10.2 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Silas Demary Jr.

    UConn · G · Senior

    76%match

    Returning

    +2.51 impact · 10.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 5.9 ast

    Compare
  • Jaquan Johnson

    Iowa State · G · Junior

    76%match

    Transfer from Bradley

    +1.23 impact · 16.9 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.6 ast

    Compare
  • Uriah Tenette

    New Mexico · G · Sophomore

    76%match

    Returning

    +1.03 impact · 10.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.9 ast

    Compare
  • Kashie Natt

    Oklahoma State · G · Senior

    75%match

    Transfer from Sam Houston

    +1.26 impact · 10.8 pts · 8.2 reb · 2.4 ast

    Compare
  • BJ Davis

    Creighton · G · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from San Diego State

    +1.11 impact · 10.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.2 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).