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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

CJ Shaw

UC Santa Barbara · Guard · Sophomore · 6-5 · #3

Returning

#706Overall
+0.42Projected impact
  • #352 guard in the country
  • #252 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 28 minutes a game) at UC Santa Barbara. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
28
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at UC Santa Barbara: 32 games, 15 starts, 29 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game12.273rdMM #150
  • Rebounds per game2.025thMM #578
  • Assists per game2.367thMM #225
  • Steals per game1.171stMM #177
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game1.824thMM #645
  • Field goal %51.7%(125-242)95thMM #40
  • 3-point %43.2%(41-95)96thMM #31
  • Free throw %82.6%(100-121)77thMM #160

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate19.8%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating124.490thMM #65

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating109.551stMM #397

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %66.2%99thMM #12

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %60.1%96thMM #33

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.2639thMM #489

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %37.5%94thMM #60

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate50.0%89thMM #101

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.14783rdMM #86

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like CJ Shaw

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Trent Perry

    UCLA · G · Junior

    70%match

    Returning

    +1.31 impact · 12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Jacob Walker

    Oklahoma State · G · Sophomore

    69%match

    Transfer from Sam Houston

    +0.32 impact · 11.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 2.5 ast

    Compare
  • Teagan Moore

    Western Kentucky · G · Junior

    69%match

    Returning

    +1.42 impact · 18.7 pts · 5.6 reb · 2 ast

    Compare
  • Dior Johnson

    UCF · G · Senior

    69%match

    Transfer from Tarleton State

    +1.11 impact · 24 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare
  • Jaylen Washington Jr.

    Western Michigan · G · Junior

    69%match

    Transfer from UT Rio Grande Valley

    +0.88 impact · 10.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 4.2 ast

    Compare
  • Vyctorius Miller

    Georgetown · G · Junior

    68%match

    Transfer from Oklahoma State

    +0.43 impact · 10.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.7 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).