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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Dillan Shaw

Arizona State · Guard · Sophomore · 6-7 · #11

Transfer from Saint Mary's

#349Overall
+0.83Projected impact
  • #171 guard in the country
  • #182 in the transfer portal

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 26 minutes a game) at Arizona State, as a floor spacer: a role like the one he had at Saint Mary's (27.5 min).

Projected minutes
26
Spot in the rotation
#3

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Saint Mary's: 33 games, 22 starts, 27.5 minutes a game.

  • Points per game7.539th
  • Rebounds per game5.394th
  • Assists per game1.543rd
  • Steals per game0.957th
  • Blocks per game0.695th
  • Turnovers per game1.065th
  • Field goal %43.1%(87-202)59th
  • 3-point %41.6%(52-125)93rd
  • Free throw %69.7%(23-33)25th

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

  • Usage rate14.2%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating119.580th

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating100.293rd

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %57.5%72nd

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %55.9%85th

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.5558th

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %25.1%65th

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate16.3%11th

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.14180th

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Dillan Shaw

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Karter Knox

    Louisville · G · Junior

    75%match

    Transfer from Arkansas

    +1.04 impact · 8.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Tyler Johnson

    Virginia Tech · G · Junior

    73%match

    Returning

    +1.03 impact · 8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare
  • Eric Mahaffey

    Cincinnati · G · Junior

    73%match

    Transfer from Akron

    +1.07 impact · 7.8 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • Tyler Hendricks

    Oklahoma · G · Senior

    71%match

    Transfer from Utah Valley

    +0.87 impact · 11.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.9 ast

    Compare
  • Tyrone Riley IV

    Oregon · G · Junior

    71%match

    Transfer from San Francisco

    +0.56 impact · 12.2 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Adrien Stevens

    Marquette · G · Sophomore

    71%match

    Returning

    +0.23 impact · 7.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).