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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Duce Paschal

Indiana State · Guard · Sophomore · 6-5 · #9

Transfer from Weber State

#2020Overall
-0.07Projected impact
  • #1038 guard in the country
  • #1069 in the transfer portal
  • #1272 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 16 minutes a game) at Indiana State: a role like the one he had at Weber State (12.8 min).

Projected minutes
16
Spot in the rotation
#4

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Weber State: 31 games, 16 starts, 12.8 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game3.79thMM #761
  • Rebounds per game2.540thMM #452
  • Assists per game0.711thMM #710
  • Steals per game0.957thMM #289
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game0.687thMM #93
  • Field goal %35.6%(42-118)10thMM #745
  • 3-point %23.9%(11-46)9thMM #755
  • Free throw %70.4%(19-27)28thMM #566

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate18.5%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating96.411thMM #726

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating104.281stMM #144

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %43.9%4thMM #809

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %40.3%5thMM #792

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.2235thMM #515

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %24.7%64thMM #323

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate22.9%28thMM #595

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.06123rdMM #603

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Duce Paschal

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Dayjaun Anderson

    UL Monroe · G · Senior

    76%match

    Transfer from UAB

    -0.25 impact · 5.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Isiah Harwell

    Gonzaga · G · Sophomore

    75%match

    Transfer from Houston

    +0.09 impact · 3.6 pts · 2 reb · 0.5 ast

    Compare
  • Iverson King

    Presbyterian · G · Junior

    74%match

    Returning

    -0.22 impact · 4.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Halon Rawlins

    Fairfield · G · Sophomore

    72%match

    Returning

    -0.17 impact · 3.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Mark Brown Jr.

    Utah Tech · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Valparaiso

    -0.18 impact · 3 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.3 ast

    Compare
  • LA Hayes

    Southern Indiana · G · Senior

    71%match

    Transfer from UTEP

    -0.01 impact · 4.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.6 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).