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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Eli Rice

Middle Tennessee · Guard · Senior · 6-7 · #11

Transfer from Penn State

#2493Overall
-0.15Projected impact
  • #1328 guard in the country
  • #1248 in the transfer portal
  • #1693 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 18 minutes a game) at Middle Tennessee, as a floor spacer: a role like the one he had at Penn State (19.8 min).

Projected minutes
18
Spot in the rotation
#3

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Penn State: 29 games, 18 starts, 19.8 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game6.734thMM #515
  • Rebounds per game1.716thMM #675
  • Assists per game0.21stMM #832
  • Steals per game0.629thMM #532
  • Blocks per game0.263rdMM #212
  • Turnovers per game0.687thMM #93
  • Field goal %38.5%(60-156)24thMM #618
  • 3-point %39.0%(41-105)83rdMM #133
  • Free throw %77.3%(34-44)53rdMM #353

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate18.0%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating108.744thMM #404

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating119.84thMM #802

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %55.6%58thMM #316

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %51.6%61stMM #306

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.391stMM #833

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %20.8%47thMM #452

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate28.2%45thMM #457

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.04213thMM #713

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Eli Rice

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Guzman Vasilic

    Cal Poly · G · Junior

    75%match

    Returning

    -0.17 impact · 7.5 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Trey Lewis

    Ball State · G · Senior

    73%match

    Transfer from Western Michigan

    -0.12 impact · 7.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.5 ast

    Compare
  • Trey Cady

    Denver · G · Sophomore

    72%match

    Transfer from North Florida

    -0.14 impact · 6.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.3 ast

    Compare
  • Chris Arias

    Wofford · G · Junior

    70%match

    Transfer from Jacksonville

    -0.15 impact · 7.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Pasha Goodarzi

    San José State · G · Junior

    68%match

    Returning

    -0.08 impact · 8.2 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Tamarion Hoover

    Jackson State · G · Junior

    68%match

    Returning

    -0.27 impact · 5.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.3 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).