College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason
Ethan Duncan
California Baptist · Guard · Senior · 6-0 · #7
Transfer from Lipscomb
- #619 guard in the country
- #693 in the transfer portal
- #613 mid-major player
Projected role · 2026-27
Projected starter (about 18 minutes a game) at California Baptist, as a secondary scorer and floor spacer: a role like the one he had at Lipscomb (21.2 min).
- Projected minutes
- 18
- Spot in the rotation
- #2
From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.
▸What is impact?
Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.
Last season: the basics
2025-26 at Lipscomb: 31 games, 7 starts, 21.2 minutes a game.
MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).
- Points per game10.562ndMM #248
- Rebounds per game2.025thMM #578
- Assists per game1.127thMM #570
- Steals per game0.738thMM #446
- Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
- Turnovers per game0.782ndMM #128
- Field goal %43.7%(118-270)63rdMM #287
- 3-point %36.7%(65-177)70thMM #219
- Free throw %92.3%(24-26)98thMM #19
Last season: advanced
Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.
MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).
- Usage rate23.1%style
Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor
- Offensive rating115.468thMM #210
Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses
- Defensive rating109.352ndMM #390
Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)
- True shooting %57.7%73rdMM #211
Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws
- Effective FG %55.7%84thMM #130
Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2
- Assist-to-turnover1.5759thMM #310
Assists for every turnover
- Offensive rebound %26.2%69thMM #274
Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor
- Free-throw rate9.6%3rdMM #814
Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts
- Win shares per 40.12268thMM #188
Wins he created per 40 minutes played
Players like Ethan Duncan
The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.
Returning
+0.10 impact · 6.6 pts · 1.7 reb · 1 ast
CompareReturning
-0.03 impact · 11.8 pts · 2 reb · 0.7 ast
CompareTransfer from Monmouth
+0.17 impact · 11.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.2 ast
CompareReturning
+0.02 impact · 8.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.6 ast
CompareTransfer from Loyola Marymount
+0.02 impact · 14 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.7 ast
CompareReturning
+0.10 impact · 7.3 pts · 2 reb · 1 ast
Compare
California Baptist teammates
Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).