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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Ethan Kizer

South Dakota · Forward · Junior · 6-5 · #21

Returning

#2959Overall
-0.27Projected impact
  • #1120 forward in the country
  • #2115 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 16 minutes a game) at South Dakota. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
16
Spot in the rotation
#5

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at South Dakota: 32 games, 3 starts, 15.2 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game4.015thMM #372
  • Rebounds per game1.62ndMM #452
  • Assists per game0.23rdMM #439
  • Steals per game0.542ndMM #210
  • Blocks per game0.16thMM #404
  • Turnovers per game0.398thMM #4
  • Field goal %35.8%(39-109)3rdMM #449
  • 3-point %33.7%(34-101)66thMM #138
  • Free throw %50.0%(15-30)10thMM #405

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate13.5%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating105.925thMM #304

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating113.118thMM #369

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %52.0%17thMM #356

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %51.4%32ndMM #281

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.4512thMM #401

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %13.5%2ndMM #455

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate27.5%25thMM #336

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.04910thMM #394

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Ethan Kizer

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Sebastien Emenalo

    Loyola Maryland · F · Sophomore

    77%match

    Returning

    -0.19 impact · 3.2 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.4 ast

    Compare
  • Tsvet Sotirov

    Georgia Southern · F · Senior

    70%match

    Returning

    -0.19 impact · 2.7 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast

    Compare
  • John Kelly

    NJIT · F · Junior

    69%match

    Returning

    -0.22 impact · 4.3 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.4 ast

    Compare
  • Donovan Hunter

    Southern Indiana · F · Senior

    69%match

    Transfer from Bellarmine

    -0.19 impact · 4 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • EJ Walker

    Western Kentucky · F · Sophomore

    68%match

    Transfer from South Carolina

    -0.15 impact · 2.9 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.4 ast

    Compare
  • Jarne Elouna Eyenga

    Rice · F · Sophomore

    68%match

    Transfer from Charlotte

    -0.13 impact · 3.5 pts · 3 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).