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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Isaiah Johnson-Arigu

Northern Iowa · Forward · Junior · 6-7 · #31

Transfer from St. Thomas-Minnesota

#463Overall
+0.66Projected impact
  • #189 forward in the country
  • #241 in the transfer portal
  • #133 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 19 minutes a game) at Northern Iowa, as a secondary scorer: a role like the one he had at St. Thomas-Minnesota (21.4 min).

Projected minutes
19
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at St. Thomas-Minnesota: 33 games, 0 starts, 21.4 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game10.570thMM #100
  • Rebounds per game4.043rdMM #226
  • Assists per game1.161stMM #135
  • Steals per game0.654thMM #168
  • Blocks per game0.661stMM #137
  • Turnovers per game1.335thMM #314
  • Field goal %54.3%(125-230)70thMM #128
  • 3-point %32.5%(26-80)59thMM #175
  • Free throw %66.7%(72-108)47thMM #224

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate23.7%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating114.758thMM #151

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating101.483rdMM #69

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %62.7%82ndMM #69

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %60.0%80thMM #84

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.8847thMM #212

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %15.3%3rdMM #452

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate47.0%68thMM #143

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.15983rdMM #49

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Isaiah Johnson-Arigu

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Carter Welling

    Clemson · F · Senior

    75%match

    Returning

    +1.34 impact · 10.2 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Coen Carr

    Michigan State · F · Senior

    74%match

    Returning

    +1.52 impact · 12 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Treyson Anderson

    Butler · F · Junior

    73%match

    Transfer from North Dakota State

    +0.72 impact · 10.4 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare
  • Arrinten Page

    Providence · F · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Northwestern

    +1.27 impact · 10.2 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • RJ Godfrey

    Arizona · F · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Clemson

    +1.74 impact · 12 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare
  • Kellen Pickett

    Wright State · F · Sophomore

    71%match

    Returning

    +0.70 impact · 8.5 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).