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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Jaxon Olvera

Portland · Guard · Junior · 6-5 · #10

Transfer from Louisiana

#3152Overall
-0.44Projected impact
  • #1793 guard in the country
  • #1542 in the transfer portal
  • #2277 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 18 minutes a game) at Portland, as a primary scorer: a smaller role than he had at Louisiana (29.2 min).

Projected minutes
18
Spot in the rotation
#5

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Louisiana: 33 games, 20 starts, 29.2 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game13.781stMM #104
  • Rebounds per game4.586thMM #100
  • Assists per game1.956thMM #314
  • Steals per game0.519thMM #627
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game2.48thMM #780
  • Field goal %39.3%(168-427)30thMM #567
  • 3-point %35.6%(57-160)62ndMM #288
  • Free throw %72.0%(59-82)32ndMM #529

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate30.8%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating95.19thMM #752

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating112.929thMM #579

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %48.8%15thMM #694

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %46.0%22ndMM #625

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.7810thMM #734

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %26.4%69thMM #269

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate19.2%18thMM #681

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.03711thMM #735

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Jaxon Olvera

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Jackson Furman

    SE Louisiana · G · Sophomore

    71%match

    Transfer from Army

    -0.37 impact · 8.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.3 ast

    Compare
  • Ismail Habib

    Incarnate Word · G · Senior

    71%match

    Transfer from Southern Indiana

    -0.36 impact · 14.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Dorian McMillian

    Jackson State · G · Junior

    71%match

    Returning

    -0.38 impact · 11.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.3 ast

    Compare
  • Darius Adams

    NC State · G · Sophomore

    70%match

    Transfer from Maryland

    -0.29 impact · 10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare
  • MJ Russell

    Stephen F. Austin · G · Senior

    68%match

    Transfer from UL Monroe

    -0.45 impact · 15.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.9 ast

    Compare
  • DJ Dudley

    New Mexico State · G · Senior

    68%match

    Transfer from Louisiana Tech

    -0.29 impact · 13.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).