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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Jayce Nathaniel

UIC · Forward · Sophomore · 6-8 · #1

Returning

#835Overall
+0.32Projected impact
  • #352 forward in the country
  • #333 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected rotation player (about 21 minutes a game) at UIC. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
21
Spot in the rotation
#6

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at UIC: 35 games, 16 starts, 19.8 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game6.237thMM #251
  • Rebounds per game4.552ndMM #183
  • Assists per game0.948thMM #186
  • Steals per game0.542ndMM #210
  • Blocks per game0.440thMM #230
  • Turnovers per game0.779thMM #95
  • Field goal %41.4%(79-191)15thMM #381
  • 3-point %24.1%(13-54)33rdMM #300
  • Free throw %70.8%(46-65)61stMM #166

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate17.8%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating112.247thMM #205

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating107.648thMM #227

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %49.4%9thMM #409

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %44.8%6thMM #428

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.3883rdMM #67

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %47.4%94thMM #37

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate34.0%40thMM #265

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.11051stMM #179

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Jayce Nathaniel

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Taj Manning

    Iowa State · F · Senior

    73%match

    Transfer from Kansas State

    +0.47 impact · 4.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Damarius Owens

    Marquette · F · Junior

    70%match

    Returning

    +0.12 impact · 4.8 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Preston Fowler

    James Madison · F · Sophomore

    70%match

    Returning

    +0.04 impact · 6.3 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Jordan Scott

    Michigan State · F · Sophomore

    69%match

    Returning

    +0.57 impact · 5.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Isaiah Abraham

    Kansas State · F · Junior

    69%match

    Transfer from Georgetown

    +0.03 impact · 4.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Quin Gorman

    Stony Brook · F · Junior

    69%match

    Returning

    +0.03 impact · 3.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).