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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Jaylen Carey

Missouri · Forward · Senior · 6-8 · #23

Transfer from Tennessee

#171Overall
+1.19Projected impact
  • #74 forward in the country
  • #77 in the transfer portal

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 22 minutes a game) at Missouri, as a secondary scorer: a role like the one he had at Tennessee (18.4 min).

Projected minutes
22
Spot in the rotation
#4

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Tennessee: 37 games, 8 starts, 18.4 minutes a game.

  • Points per game7.448th
  • Rebounds per game6.080th
  • Assists per game1.369th
  • Steals per game0.315th
  • Blocks per game0.16th
  • Turnovers per game0.962nd
  • Field goal %48.7%(110-226)47th
  • 3-point %0.0%(0-5)10th
  • Free throw %49.1%(54-110)8th

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

  • Usage rate22.0%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating112.448th

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating104.369th

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %49.9%10th

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %48.7%19th

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.4184th

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %46.4%93rd

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate48.7%71st

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.13570th

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Jaylen Carey

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Gavin Walsh

    UNC Wilmington · F · Senior

    66%match

    Returning

    +0.66 impact · 9.5 pts · 6.5 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Josiah Parker

    Georgetown · F · Sophomore

    65%match

    Transfer from Florida Atlantic

    +0.59 impact · 9.6 pts · 6 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Nikos Chitikoudis

    Xavier · F · Senior

    65%match

    Transfer from Robert Morris

    +0.79 impact · 11.4 pts · 7.7 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • Ian Smikle

    Northern Iowa · F · Junior

    64%match

    Transfer from Tulsa

    +0.35 impact · 3.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 1 ast

    Compare
  • George Natsvlishvili

    Winthrop · F · Senior

    61%match

    Transfer from North Dakota

    +0.11 impact · 8 pts · 4.9 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Connor Igoe

    Columbia · F · Sophomore

    61%match

    Returning

    +0.53 impact · 8.3 pts · 5.6 reb · 2.9 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).