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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

JJ Kelly

UTSA · Guard · Sophomore · 6-6 · #1

Transfer from Ohio

#1476Overall
+0.05Projected impact
  • #739 guard in the country
  • #831 in the transfer portal
  • #822 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 25 minutes a game) at UTSA: a role like the one he had at Ohio (26.6 min).

Projected minutes
25
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Ohio: 31 games, 26 starts, 26.6 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game8.648thMM #384
  • Rebounds per game3.876thMM #173
  • Assists per game0.56thMM #772
  • Steals per game0.848thMM #371
  • Blocks per game0.898thMM #9
  • Turnovers per game0.971stMM #233
  • Field goal %52.0%(104-200)96thMM #37
  • 3-point %32.9%(24-73)44thMM #439
  • Free throw %77.3%(34-44)53rdMM #353

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate15.1%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating116.872ndMM #181

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating111.935thMM #524

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %60.6%87thMM #103

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %58.0%90thMM #72

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.614thMM #798

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %28.8%77thMM #212

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate22.0%26thMM #617

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.09245thMM #393

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like JJ Kelly

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Rashund Washington Jr.

    UIC · G · Sophomore

    74%match

    Returning

    +0.44 impact · 8.7 pts · 5 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Maban Jabriel

    Maryland · G · Junior

    72%match

    Transfer from Queens University

    +0.23 impact · 7.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 1 ast

    Compare
  • Cole Bowser

    Furman · G · Sophomore

    70%match

    Returning

    +0.15 impact · 5.2 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.6 ast

    Compare
  • Austin Hunt

    Harvard · G · Junior

    69%match

    Returning

    +0.12 impact · 6.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1 ast

    Compare
  • Victor Payne Jr.

    Central Connecticut · G · Junior

    69%match

    Transfer from St. Francis (PA)

    -0.31 impact · 6.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Dominic Pangonis

    Wright State · G · Junior

    69%match

    Returning

    +0.09 impact · 8.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).