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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

J.J. Starling

Buffalo · Guard · Senior · 6-4 · #2

Transfer from Syracuse

#1911Overall
-0.05Projected impact
  • #977 guard in the country
  • #1032 in the transfer portal
  • #1178 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 26 minutes a game) at Buffalo, as a secondary scorer: a role like the one he had at Syracuse (29.0 min).

Projected minutes
26
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Syracuse: 30 games, 30 starts, 29 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game10.965thMM #216
  • Rebounds per game2.746thMM #405
  • Assists per game2.469thMM #210
  • Steals per game0.957thMM #289
  • Blocks per game0.263rdMM #212
  • Turnovers per game1.346thMM #453
  • Field goal %41.9%(135-322)51stMM #384
  • 3-point %28.9%(24-83)22ndMM #626
  • Free throw %54.8%(34-62)4thMM #804

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate23.2%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating99.417thMM #667

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating113.326thMM #601

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %47.0%9thMM #748

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %45.7%21stMM #640

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.8373rdMM #185

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %16.0%26thMM #634

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate19.3%18thMM #677

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.05117thMM #670

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like J.J. Starling

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • De'vion Lavergne

    Louisiana · G · Junior

    74%match

    Returning

    -0.37 impact · 9.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Roddie Anderson

    Seton Hall · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Xavier

    +0.29 impact · 10.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.2 ast

    Compare
  • Drew Steffe

    Buffalo · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Southern Illinois

    -0.01 impact · 9.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.5 ast

    Compare
  • Jo Van Buggenhout

    Sacred Heart · G · Junior

    71%match

    Transfer from Indiana State

    +0.02 impact · 6.3 pts · 2 reb · 3.1 ast

    Compare
  • Ashton Walker

    Monmouth · G · Sophomore

    69%match

    Transfer from La Salle

    -0.05 impact · 8.2 pts · 3.8 reb · 3.1 ast

    Compare
  • Sam Brown

    Davidson · G · Senior

    67%match

    Returning

    -0.16 impact · 8 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.2 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).