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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Joshua Rivera

Tennessee State · Forward · Senior · 6-6 · #15

Transfer from Seton Hall

#1212Overall
+0.13Projected impact
  • #507 forward in the country
  • #686 in the transfer portal
  • #604 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 18 minutes a game) at Tennessee State: a bigger role than he had at Seton Hall (11.7 min).

Projected minutes
18
Spot in the rotation
#4

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Seton Hall: 30 games, 0 starts, 11.7 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game3.39thMM #407
  • Rebounds per game2.05thMM #437
  • Assists per game0.519thMM #342
  • Steals per game0.315thMM #351
  • Blocks per game0.16thMM #404
  • Turnovers per game0.495thMM #20
  • Field goal %48.8%(41-84)48thMM #217
  • 3-point %33.3%(2-6)63rdMM #143
  • Free throw %53.6%(15-28)14thMM #390

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate15.6%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating110.239thMM #242

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating105.066thMM #151

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %51.4%15thMM #370

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %50.0%25thMM #319

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.2777thMM #92

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %53.3%98thMM #12

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate33.3%38thMM #272

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.10244thMM #212

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Joshua Rivera

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Tyler McKinley

    Charlotte · F · Sophomore

    76%match

    Transfer from Cincinnati

    +0.12 impact · 1.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast

    Compare
  • Brandon Williams

    UCLA · F · Senior

    75%match

    Returning

    +0.15 impact · 2.6 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast

    Compare
  • Dane Christensen

    Tennessee Tech · F · Junior

    72%match

    Transfer from UT Rio Grande Valley

    +0.07 impact · 3.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • DJ Thomas

    TCU · F · Sophomore

    72%match

    Transfer from West Virginia

    +0.19 impact · 6.6 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.6 ast

    Compare
  • Trent Sisley

    Indiana · F · Sophomore

    71%match

    Returning

    +0.19 impact · 4.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.4 ast

    Compare
  • Elijah Chol

    UC Irvine · F · Senior

    68%match

    Returning

    +0.27 impact · 4.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 0.6 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).