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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

JT Toppin

Texas Tech · Forward · Senior · 6-9 · #15

Returning

#3Overall
+3.81Projected impact
  • #2 forward in the country

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 28 minutes a game) at Texas Tech, as a primary scorer and rim protector. Fewer minutes than last season.

Projected minutes
28
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Texas Tech: 25 games, 25 starts, 34.8 minutes a game.

  • Points per game21.899th
  • Rebounds per game10.899th
  • Assists per game2.190th
  • Steals per game1.497th
  • Blocks per game1.797th
  • Turnovers per game2.52nd
  • Field goal %54.7%(234-428)71st
  • 3-point %28.1%(16-57)42nd
  • Free throw %57.9%(62-107)22nd

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

  • Usage rate31.0%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating116.464th

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating100.786th

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %57.5%49th

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %56.5%62nd

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.8544th

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %38.9%73rd

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate25.0%19th

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.20296th

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like JT Toppin

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Tomislav Buljan

    Maryland · F · Sophomore

    78%match

    Transfer from New Mexico

    +2.10 impact · 13.1 pts · 10.3 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • Amani Hansberry

    Virginia Tech · F · Senior

    73%match

    Returning

    +1.60 impact · 14.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 2.4 ast

    Compare
  • Rikus Schulte

    Fordham · F · Senior

    73%match

    Returning

    +0.83 impact · 10.7 pts · 9.1 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • David Punch

    Texas · F · Junior

    72%match

    Transfer from TCU

    +1.78 impact · 14.1 pts · 6.8 reb · 2 ast

    Compare
  • Brandon Benjamin

    Boston College · F · Sophomore

    72%match

    Transfer from Fairfield

    +0.77 impact · 14.2 pts · 10.4 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Malik Reneau

    Miami · F · Senior

    71%match

    Returning

    +2.33 impact · 18.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).