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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Justin Johnson

Long Island University · Forward · Junior · 6-7 · #4

Transfer from Western Carolina

#1872Overall
-0.04Projected impact
  • #769 forward in the country
  • #1012 in the transfer portal
  • #1145 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 17 minutes a game) at Long Island University, as a secondary scorer: a role like the one he had at Western Carolina (15.6 min).

Projected minutes
17
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Western Carolina: 30 games, 3 starts, 15.6 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game6.742ndMM #230
  • Rebounds per game2.513thMM #381
  • Assists per game0.948thMM #186
  • Steals per game0.542ndMM #210
  • Blocks per game0.328thMM #281
  • Turnovers per game0.962ndMM #177
  • Field goal %41.1%(72-175)14thMM #385
  • 3-point %22.7%(10-44)31stMM #308
  • Free throw %63.9%(46-72)36thMM #273

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate24.2%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating103.719thMM #337

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating111.526thMM #327

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %48.4%6thMM #425

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %44.0%5thMM #434

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.0059thMM #155

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %34.7%57thMM #197

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate41.1%56thMM #192

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.07725thMM #318

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Justin Johnson

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Enzo Boudouma

    New Orleans · F · Sophomore

    74%match

    Returning

    -0.07 impact · 5.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare
  • Alon Michaeli

    Saint Louis · F · Sophomore

    73%match

    Transfer from Colorado

    +0.19 impact · 7.1 pts · 4 reb · 1 ast

    Compare
  • CJ Happy

    Princeton · F · Junior

    73%match

    Returning

    -0.13 impact · 6.8 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare
  • Cade Hornecker

    Abilene Christian · F · Senior

    72%match

    Returning

    +0.01 impact · 5.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Victor Okojie

    UMass Lowell · F · Sophomore

    72%match

    Returning

    -0.11 impact · 5 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Kaidon Rayfield

    Northern Colorado · F · Sophomore

    71%match

    Transfer from UTSA

    -0.14 impact · 6.7 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).