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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Justin Neely

Colorado · Forward · Senior · 6-6 · #12

Transfer from UNC Greensboro

#380Overall
+0.77Projected impact
  • #152 forward in the country
  • #200 in the transfer portal

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 20 minutes a game) at Colorado, as a secondary scorer and rebounder: a smaller role than he had at UNC Greensboro (32.3 min).

Projected minutes
20
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at UNC Greensboro: 34 games, 34 starts, 32.3 minutes a game.

  • Points per game17.998th
  • Rebounds per game11.599th
  • Assists per game2.495th
  • Steals per game0.980th
  • Blocks per game0.216th
  • Turnovers per game2.25th
  • Field goal %54.2%(193-356)69th
  • 3-point %31.4%(16-51)55th
  • Free throw %78.4%(207-264)84th

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

  • Usage rate25.6%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating125.588th

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating111.825th

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %64.5%88th

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %56.5%62nd

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.0865th

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %21.2%9th

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate74.2%95th

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.18692nd

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Justin Neely

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Lewis Walker

    UCF · F · Sophomore

    80%match

    Transfer from North Carolina A&T

    +0.51 impact · 18.9 pts · 5 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • Keyshawn Hall

    St. John's · F · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from Auburn

    +2.21 impact · 19.3 pts · 6.9 reb · 2.5 ast

    Compare
  • Nick Townsend

    Stanford · F · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from Yale

    +1.92 impact · 16.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 4.3 ast

    Compare
  • DJ Hall

    Texas State · F · Sophomore

    73%match

    Returning

    +0.68 impact · 15.6 pts · 7.6 reb · 2.2 ast

    Compare
  • Keanu Dawes

    Kansas · F · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Utah

    +1.22 impact · 12.5 pts · 8.8 reb · 2.2 ast

    Compare
  • Blake Barkley

    Grand Canyon · F · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from East Tennessee State

    +0.95 impact · 14.3 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).