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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Justin Page

Southern · Guard · Senior · 6-5 · #5

Transfer from Niagara

#2831Overall
-0.22Projected impact
  • #1552 guard in the country
  • #1391 in the transfer portal
  • #1996 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 17 minutes a game) at Southern, as a secondary scorer: a smaller role than he had at Niagara (30.2 min).

Projected minutes
17
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Niagara: 21 games, 20 starts, 30.2 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game12.173rdMM #156
  • Rebounds per game2.128thMM #556
  • Assists per game2.571stMM #201
  • Steals per game0.738thMM #446
  • Blocks per game0.263rdMM #212
  • Turnovers per game1.536thMM #546
  • Field goal %42.3%(96-227)54thMM #366
  • 3-point %29.5%(28-95)24thMM #608
  • Free throw %79.5%(35-44)64thMM #267

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate24.7%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating103.327thMM #571

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating117.98thMM #763

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %51.8%30thMM #546

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %48.5%37thMM #491

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.6664thMM #262

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %31.1%83rdMM #166

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate19.4%18thMM #675

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.05016thMM #677

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Justin Page

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Micah Davis

    Winthrop · G · Junior

    73%match

    Transfer from IU Indianapolis

    -0.19 impact · 9.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.9 ast

    Compare
  • Karmello Branch

    Bethune-Cookman · G · Senior

    69%match

    Transfer from Kansas City

    -0.44 impact · 12.1 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • Juan Cranford Jr.

    Bowling Green · G · Junior

    69%match

    Transfer from Eastern Kentucky

    -0.12 impact · 12.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare
  • Josh Smith

    Duquesne · G · Senior

    68%match

    Transfer from West Georgia

    -0.12 impact · 16.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare
  • KiJan Robinson

    Binghamton · G · Senior

    68%match

    Transfer from New Hampshire

    -0.27 impact · 10.7 pts · 1.7 reb · 2.3 ast

    Compare
  • BJ Ward

    East Tennessee State · G · Senior

    68%match

    Transfer from Southeast Missouri State

    -0.13 impact · 10.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.7 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).