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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Marcus Wilson

Sacramento State · Guard · Sophomore · 6-3 · #10

Transfer from UC Davis

#636Overall
+0.47Projected impact
  • #313 guard in the country
  • #345 in the transfer portal
  • #211 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 25 minutes a game) at Sacramento State, as a secondary scorer: a role like the one he had at UC Davis (26.4 min).

Projected minutes
25
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at UC Davis: 33 games, 33 starts, 26.4 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game12.474thMM #141
  • Rebounds per game3.262ndMM #283
  • Assists per game3.991stMM #55
  • Steals per game1.171stMM #177
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game2.212thMM #749
  • Field goal %42.8%(137-320)57thMM #338
  • 3-point %32.4%(33-102)40thMM #473
  • Free throw %78.5%(102-130)59thMM #309

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate25.6%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating107.741stMM #432

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating105.475thMM #194

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %54.2%48thMM #402

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %48.0%34thMM #515

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.8272ndMM #190

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %14.0%19thMM #691

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate40.6%75thMM #213

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.11966thMM #200

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Marcus Wilson

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Kolton Mitchell

    Ohio · G · Junior

    78%match

    Transfer from Idaho

    +0.68 impact · 13.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.6 ast

    Compare
  • Adam Clark

    Ole Miss · G · Senior

    78%match

    Transfer from Seton Hall

    +0.72 impact · 12.7 pts · 3 reb · 4.9 ast

    Compare
  • Trey Campbell

    Utah · G · Senior

    77%match

    Transfer from Northern Iowa

    +0.80 impact · 13.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 3.8 ast

    Compare
  • Kanaan Carlyle

    Florida Atlantic · G · Senior

    77%match

    Returning

    +0.29 impact · 14.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 2.9 ast

    Compare
  • Zyree Collins

    Austin Peay · G · Sophomore

    77%match

    Returning

    +0.49 impact · 13.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 4.3 ast

    Compare
  • Malik Mack

    Providence · G · Senior

    76%match

    Transfer from Georgetown

    +0.40 impact · 13.6 pts · 3 reb · 4.1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).