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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Mario Tatum Jr.

NJIT · Guard · Sophomore · 6-3 · #2

Transfer from VMI

#3122Overall
-0.40Projected impact
  • #1767 guard in the country
  • #1525 in the transfer portal
  • #2253 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 18 minutes a game) at NJIT: a smaller role than he had at VMI (25.9 min).

Projected minutes
18
Spot in the rotation
#3

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at VMI: 31 games, 8 starts, 25.9 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game8.547thMM #388
  • Rebounds per game2.025thMM #578
  • Assists per game1.439thMM #459
  • Steals per game0.738thMM #446
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game0.687thMM #93
  • Field goal %39.5%(92-233)31stMM #556
  • 3-point %27.3%(27-99)16thMM #685
  • Free throw %64.6%(51-79)13thMM #707

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate18.3%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating106.637thMM #458

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating124.01stMM #833

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %48.9%15thMM #688

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %45.3%19thMM #657

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover2.3389thMM #74

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %38.7%96thMM #44

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate33.9%60thMM #331

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.0308thMM #769

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Mario Tatum Jr.

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Cole Farrell

    Niagara · G · Senior

    73%match

    Transfer from Long Beach State

    -0.30 impact · 6.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Isaiah Campbell-Finch

    Samford · G · Sophomore

    71%match

    Returning

    -0.21 impact · 7.4 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast

    Compare
  • Kevin McCarthy

    Army · G · Junior

    71%match

    Returning

    -0.31 impact · 7.9 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Miles Rose

    UAlbany · G · Junior

    67%match

    Returning

    -0.29 impact · 3.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.4 ast

    Compare
  • EJ Ryans

    South Dakota State · G · Junior

    67%match

    Transfer from Western Michigan

    -0.34 impact · 7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.9 ast

    Compare
  • Rahmir Moore

    Delaware State · G · Senior

    67%match

    Returning

    -0.34 impact · 6.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).