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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

MJ Collins Jr.

Cincinnati · Guard · Senior · 6-4 · #2

Transfer from Utah State

#65Overall
+1.78Projected impact
  • #28 guard in the country
  • #26 in the transfer portal

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 26 minutes a game) at Cincinnati, as a secondary scorer and floor spacer: a role like the one he had at Utah State (30.8 min).

Projected minutes
26
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Utah State: 36 games, 36 starts, 30.8 minutes a game.

  • Points per game17.595th
  • Rebounds per game2.540th
  • Assists per game1.647th
  • Steals per game0.957th
  • Blocks per game0.138th
  • Turnovers per game1.065th
  • Field goal %48.7%(212-435)89th
  • 3-point %36.1%(82-227)66th
  • Free throw %81.0%(124-153)70th

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

  • Usage rate24.9%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating129.297th

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating109.352nd

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %62.7%93rd

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %58.2%91st

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.6161st

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %21.3%49th

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate35.2%64th

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.18896th

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like MJ Collins Jr.

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Jake Hall

    New Mexico · G · Sophomore

    79%match

    Returning

    +1.50 impact · 16.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare
  • Terrence Hill Jr.

    Tennessee · G · Junior

    78%match

    Transfer from VCU

    +1.70 impact · 15 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Christian Hammond

    NC State · G · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from Santa Clara

    +1.06 impact · 15.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.5 ast

    Compare
  • Isaiah Johnson

    Texas · G · Sophomore

    72%match

    Transfer from Colorado

    +1.67 impact · 16.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 3 ast

    Compare
  • Gavin Doty

    Syracuse · G · Junior

    71%match

    Transfer from Siena

    +0.99 impact · 18 pts · 6.9 reb · 2.2 ast

    Compare
  • Trent Perry

    UCLA · G · Junior

    71%match

    Returning

    +1.31 impact · 12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).