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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Nolan Winter

Wisconsin · Forward · Senior · 7-0 · #31

Returning

#15Overall
+2.86Projected impact
  • #8 forward in the country

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 29 minutes a game) at Wisconsin, as a rebounder. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
29
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Wisconsin: 31 games, 30 starts, 30.7 minutes a game.

  • Points per game13.186th
  • Rebounds per game8.596th
  • Assists per game1.576th
  • Steals per game0.542nd
  • Blocks per game1.288th
  • Turnovers per game0.871st
  • Field goal %56.9%(153-269)79th
  • 3-point %32.6%(31-95)60th
  • Free throw %74.2%(69-93)72nd

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

  • Usage rate17.8%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating135.598th

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating107.747th

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %65.5%92nd

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %62.6%89th

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.9295th

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %26.7%23rd

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate34.6%41st

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.18592nd

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Nolan Winter

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Aiden Sherrell

    Indiana · F · Junior

    75%match

    Transfer from Alabama

    +2.66 impact · 11.1 pts · 6.2 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Kyle Evans

    NC State · F · Senior

    75%match

    Transfer from UC Irvine

    +1.75 impact · 12 pts · 8.7 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Ven-Allen Lubin

    NC State · F · Senior

    72%match

    Returning

    +2.67 impact · 13.6 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Ethan Potter

    Utah Tech · F · Senior

    72%match

    Returning

    +1.31 impact · 16.9 pts · 7.8 reb · 1.9 ast

    Compare
  • Jalen Washington

    Tennessee · F · Senior

    71%match

    Transfer from Vanderbilt

    +2.00 impact · 8.9 pts · 5.6 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Kellen Pickett

    Wright State · F · Sophomore

    71%match

    Returning

    +0.70 impact · 8.5 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).