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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Ryan Abelman

Northern Arizona · Guard · Senior · 6-4 · #11

Returning

#2271Overall
-0.11Projected impact
  • #1179 guard in the country
  • #1489 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 28 minutes a game) at Northern Arizona, as a floor spacer. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
28
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Northern Arizona: 30 games, 30 starts, 32.3 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game10.562ndMM #248
  • Rebounds per game5.192ndMM #55
  • Assists per game1.956thMM #314
  • Steals per game1.383rdMM #92
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game1.159thMM #352
  • Field goal %40.0%(110-275)36thMM #507
  • 3-point %36.1%(52-144)66thMM #254
  • Free throw %89.4%(42-47)95thMM #39

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate18.2%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating110.450thMM #353

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating114.023rdMM #635

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %53.1%39thMM #464

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %49.5%45thMM #423

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.8172ndMM #194

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %26.0%68thMM #281

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate17.1%13thMM #722

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.07833rdMM #497

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Ryan Abelman

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Chris Lockett Jr.

    Jacksonville State · G · Junior

    70%match

    Transfer from Jacksonville

    -0.10 impact · 9.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.7 ast

    Compare
  • Dez White

    Temple · G · Senior

    69%match

    Transfer from Oregon State

    -0.07 impact · 9.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare
  • Jordan Stiemke

    Jacksonville State · G · Senior

    67%match

    Transfer from Loyola Maryland

    -0.24 impact · 9.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.4 ast

    Compare
  • Jordan Crawford

    Missouri · G · Senior

    66%match

    Transfer from South Dakota

    -0.12 impact · 14.4 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.4 ast

    Compare
  • Landon Clark

    Princeton · G · Sophomore

    65%match

    Returning

    -0.16 impact · 6 pts · 4 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • Meechie White

    Indiana State · G · Senior

    65%match

    Transfer from Eastern Illinois

    -0.11 impact · 10.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).