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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Ryan Mela

Providence · Guard · Junior · 6-7 · #11

Returning

#384Overall
+0.77Projected impact
  • #193 guard in the country

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 26 minutes a game) at Providence. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
26
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Providence: 33 games, 22 starts, 25.9 minutes a game.

  • Points per game9.957th
  • Rebounds per game5.394th
  • Assists per game2.059th
  • Steals per game0.848th
  • Blocks per game0.138th
  • Turnovers per game1.632nd
  • Field goal %50.2%(121-241)93rd
  • 3-point %32.1%(18-56)38th
  • Free throw %80.5%(66-82)68th

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

  • Usage rate18.7%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating115.468th

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating113.028th

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %58.8%80th

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %53.9%76th

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.2740th

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %20.6%46th

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate34.0%61st

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.09849th

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Ryan Mela

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Nasir Meyer

    Wyoming · G · Sophomore

    78%match

    Returning

    +0.80 impact · 12.9 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.4 ast

    Compare
  • Nasir Mann

    Queens University · G · Senior

    77%match

    Returning

    +0.70 impact · 13.3 pts · 5.7 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Marqueas Bell

    Southeast Missouri State · G · Senior

    74%match

    Returning

    +0.41 impact · 9.1 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • AJ Storr

    UNLV · G · Senior

    71%match

    Transfer from Ole Miss

    +0.65 impact · 15.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.9 ast

    Compare
  • Kael Combs

    Iowa · G · Senior

    71%match

    Returning

    +0.32 impact · 6.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.4 ast

    Compare
  • Adrian Wooley

    Louisville · G · Junior

    70%match

    Returning

    +1.02 impact · 8.7 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).