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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Tennessee Rainwater

Mercyhurst · Forward · Senior · 6-7 · #10

Transfer from Le Moyne

#1475Overall
+0.05Projected impact
  • #615 forward in the country
  • #830 in the transfer portal
  • #821 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 21 minutes a game) at Mercyhurst: a role like the one he had at Le Moyne (24.5 min).

Projected minutes
21
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Le Moyne: 32 games, 7 starts, 24.5 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game9.866thMM #118
  • Rebounds per game4.349thMM #195
  • Assists per game1.783rdMM #54
  • Steals per game0.872ndMM #88
  • Blocks per game0.216thMM #339
  • Turnovers per game1.814thMM #405
  • Field goal %58.0%(102-176)82ndMM #79
  • 3-point %50.0%(21-42)98thMM #9
  • Free throw %67.2%(90-134)48thMM #221

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate19.2%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating116.565thMM #119

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating106.059thMM #179

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %67.0%95thMM #21

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %63.9%92ndMM #31

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.9655thMM #183

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %20.1%7thMM #421

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate76.1%96thMM #13

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.13369thMM #102

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Tennessee Rainwater

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Rashaan Mbemba

    Colorado State · F · Senior

    66%match

    Returning

    +0.58 impact · 8.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Julen Iturbe

    American University · F · Junior

    66%match

    Returning

    +0.19 impact · 10.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.3 ast

    Compare
  • Isaac Finlinson

    Western Michigan · F · Senior

    66%match

    Transfer from Hawai'i

    +0.17 impact · 9.2 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare
  • Colin Smith

    Northwestern · F · Senior

    65%match

    Transfer from UC Santa Barbara

    +0.32 impact · 11.9 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • Keenan Garner

    Central Michigan · F · Junior

    64%match

    Returning

    +0.02 impact · 7.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare
  • Blake Barkley

    Grand Canyon · F · Senior

    63%match

    Transfer from East Tennessee State

    +0.95 impact · 14.3 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).