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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

TJ Burch

Utah · Guard · Junior · 6-0 · #6

Transfer from Wright State

#547Overall
+0.54Projected impact
  • #274 guard in the country
  • #292 in the transfer portal

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 20 minutes a game) at Utah, as a primary scorer and ball hawk: a role like the one he had at Wright State (24.7 min).

Projected minutes
21
Spot in the rotation
#3

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Wright State: 34 games, 23 starts, 24.7 minutes a game.

  • Points per game12.474th
  • Rebounds per game2.437th
  • Assists per game3.687th
  • Steals per game2.699th
  • Blocks per game0.379th
  • Turnovers per game2.114th
  • Field goal %45.7%(161-352)76th
  • 3-point %34.7%(26-75)56th
  • Free throw %73.3%(74-101)37th

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

  • Usage rate28.1%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating110.350th

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating102.686th

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %53.2%40th

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %49.4%44th

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.7368th

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %41.5%98th

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate28.7%46th

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.15386th

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like TJ Burch

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Nigel James Jr.

    Marquette · G · Sophomore

    77%match

    Returning

    +1.15 impact · 16.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.8 ast

    Compare
  • Zyree Collins

    Austin Peay · G · Sophomore

    76%match

    Returning

    +0.49 impact · 13.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 4.3 ast

    Compare
  • Elijah Crawford

    Villanova · G · Junior

    76%match

    Transfer from UIC

    +0.94 impact · 14.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 4.9 ast

    Compare
  • Ty-Laur Johnson

    Tennessee State · G · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from San Diego

    +0.36 impact · 14.6 pts · 2.7 reb · 4.3 ast

    Compare
  • Trey Campbell

    Utah · G · Senior

    70%match

    Transfer from Northern Iowa

    +0.80 impact · 13.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 3.8 ast

    Compare
  • Killyan Toure

    Iowa State · G · Sophomore

    70%match

    Returning

    +0.89 impact · 8.6 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.3 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).