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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

TJ Johnson

VMI · Forward · Senior · 6-7 · #44

Returning

#3096Overall
-0.37Projected impact
  • #1151 forward in the country
  • #2234 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 33 minutes a game) at VMI, as a secondary scorer. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
33
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at VMI: 31 games, 31 starts, 35.6 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game18.398thMM #2
  • Rebounds per game7.290thMM #24
  • Assists per game1.472ndMM #99
  • Steals per game1.598thMM #4
  • Blocks per game0.216thMM #339
  • Turnovers per game1.621stMM #378
  • Field goal %39.8%(169-425)9thMM #414
  • 3-point %35.5%(110-310)74thMM #103
  • Free throw %81.9%(118-144)92ndMM #33

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate25.2%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating116.163rdMM #129

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating116.67thMM #430

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %57.9%52ndMM #186

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %52.7%39thMM #250

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.8443rdMM #232

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %24.2%16thMM #377

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate33.9%40thMM #266

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.11253rdMM #172

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like TJ Johnson

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Kaseem Watson

    East Carolina · F · Senior

    70%match

    Transfer from UTEP

    -0.16 impact · 12.5 pts · 5 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • Timofei Rudovskii

    Pittsburgh · F · Sophomore

    70%match

    Transfer from Bryant

    -0.37 impact · 12.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • Bryan Ndjonga

    Stony Brook · F · Senior

    65%match

    Transfer from Canisius

    -0.37 impact · 13.9 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • Macon Emory

    Tulsa · F · Junior

    63%match

    Transfer from Delaware

    -0.24 impact · 11.3 pts · 6.6 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Adam Olsen

    Auburn · F · Senior

    60%match

    Transfer from South Alabama

    +0.25 impact · 16.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Sam Hughes

    Boston University · F · Sophomore

    60%match

    Returning

    -0.25 impact · 9 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.3 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).