#148
of 368 wide receivers · Top 40%
What the numbers say about AJ
- •Best among 286 qualified wide receivers on 2nd down (+2.16 points per play).
- •Heating up: +0.95 points per play over his last three games, up from +0.78 for the season.
- •Top 6% of wide receivers in yards per target (12.2).
Against every FBS WR
Where he ranks among qualified players at his position.
- EPA per target0.69Top 21%
- Target success rate59.1%Top 16%
- Catch rate72.7%Top 18%
- Yards per target12.2Top 6%
- Average depth of target11.3Top 20%
- Yards after catch5.4Top 35%
- Target share11.1%Bottom 9%
What he does best
- Yards per target (Top 6%)
- Target success rate (Top 16%)
- Catch rate (Top 18%)
What to work on
- Yards after catch (Top 35%, his lowest mark)
- EPA per target (Top 21%, his lowest mark)
- 1st down (+0.20 per play, vs +2.16 2nd down)
No true weak spots at his position, so these are his lowest marks.
Coaching notes
- By down. Best: 2nd down (+2.16 per play). Toughest: 1st down (+0.20).
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Players like Little
The closest matches at his position across every stat, not just the total.
- 78%match
+0.44 points added per game
Compare to Little - 75%match
+0.94 points added per game
Compare to Little - 74%match
+0.40 points added per game
Compare to Little
Situational splits
Points added per play (adjusted for opponents) and success rate in each situation.
By down
- 1st down+0.20 EPA · 60% succ · 10 plays
- 2nd down+2.16 EPA · 88% succ · 8 plays
- 3rd/4th down-1.06 EPA · 0% succ · 4 plays
Standard vs passing downs
- Standard downs+0.60 EPA · 73% succ · 15 plays
- Passing downs+0.85 EPA · 29% succ · 7 plays
Red zone
- Red zone-3.42 EPA · 0% succ · 1 plays
Against top defenses
- vs everyone else+0.71 EPA · 56% succ · 18 plays
- vs top-40 defenses+0.56 EPA · 75% succ · 4 plays
Short vs deep
- Short targets+0.23 EPA · 55% succ · 20 plays
- Deep targets+5.25 EPA · 100% succ · 2 plays
Season stats
| Tgt | Rec | Catch% | Rec Yds | Y/Tgt | Rec TD | aDOT | YAC | Tgt Shr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 16 | 72.7% | 268 | 12.2 | 1 | 11.3 | 5.4 | 11.1% |
Game log
| Wk | Opponent | Receiving | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsAlcorn State | 2/2, 35 yds, 0 TD | +0.74 |
| 2 | at Auburn | 4/4, 27 yds, 0 TD | +0.56 |
| 3 | vs UConn | 4/4, 36 yds, 0 TD | +0.52 |
| 4 | at Tulane | 4/7, 75 yds, 0 TD | +0.86 |
| 6 | at Troy | 1/4, 75 yds, 1 TD | +0.43 |
| 7 | vs Arkansas State | 1/1, 20 yds, 0 TD | +1.55 |