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← Wide Receivers

New Mexico State · Through Week 8

AJ Williams III

#11 · WR · Fr. · 6'4" · 195 lbs · Spring, TX

#229

of 368 wide receivers · Bottom 39%

+0.06

points added per game vs an average WR

Receiving +0.067 games
Compare to another player

What the numbers say about AJ

  • •Cooling off: -0.02 points per play over his last three games, down from +0.19 for the season.
  • •Ranks #229 of 368 wide receivers (top 62%) with +0.06 points added per game.

Against every FBS WR

Where he ranks among qualified players at his position.

  • EPA per target0.38Bottom 41%
  • Target success rate39.1%Bottom 17%
  • Catch rate47.8%Bottom 8%
  • Yards per target7.1Bottom 33%
  • Average depth of target9.0Top 43%
  • Yards after catch3.3Bottom 21%
  • Target share10.6%Bottom 7%

What he does best

No single stat in the top quarter at his position yet.

What to work on

  • Catch rate (Bottom 8%)
  • Target success rate (Bottom 17%)
  • 1st down (-0.40 per play, vs +1.14 3rd/4th down)

Coaching notes

  • By down. Best: 3rd/4th down (+1.14 per play). Toughest: 1st down (-0.40).
  • Standard vs passing downs. Best: passing downs (+0.89 per play). Toughest: standard downs (-0.40).
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Players like III

The closest matches at his position across every stat, not just the total.

Situational splits

Points added per play (adjusted for opponents) and success rate in each situation.

By down

  • 3rd/4th down+1.14 EPA · 46% succ · 11 plays
  • 1st down-0.40 EPA · 33% succ · 9 plays
  • 2nd down-0.01 EPA · 33% succ · 3 plays

Standard vs passing downs

  • Passing downs+0.89 EPA · 43% succ · 14 plays
  • Standard downs-0.40 EPA · 33% succ · 9 plays

Red zone

  • Red zone-0.27 EPA · 0% succ · 5 plays

Against top defenses

  • vs everyone else+0.36 EPA · 44% succ · 18 plays
  • vs top-40 defenses+0.47 EPA · 20% succ · 5 plays

Short vs deep

  • Short targets+0.37 EPA · 37% succ · 19 plays
  • Deep targets+0.43 EPA · 50% succ · 4 plays

Season stats

TgtRecCatch%Rec YdsY/TgtRec TDaDOTYACTgt Shr
231147.8%1637.109.03.310.6%

Game log

WkOpponentReceivingEPA/play
1atFlorida State3/4, 29 yds, 0 TD+1.23
1vsMercyhurst0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD-0.97
2atHawai'i3/4, 54 yds, 0 TD+0.68
4vsNew Mexico3/5, 28 yds, 0 TD+0.47
5vsWestern Kentucky0/3, 0 yds, 0 TD-1.05
6atFlorida International1/3, 32 yds, 0 TD+1.18
8atSam Houston1/3, 20 yds, 0 TD-0.20