#209
of 368 wide receivers · Bottom 44%
What the numbers say about AJ
- •Heating up: +1.02 points per play over his last three games, up from +0.60 for the season.
- •Ranks #209 of 368 wide receivers (top 57%) with +0.14 points added per game.
Against every FBS WR
Where he ranks among qualified players at his position.
- EPA per target0.40Bottom 43%
- Target success rate32.4%Bottom 6%
- Catch rate61.8%Bottom 42%
- Yards per target8.1Bottom 49%
- Average depth of target10.1Top 31%
- Yards after catch3.0Bottom 17%
- Target share13.8%Bottom 27%
What he does best
No single stat in the top quarter at his position yet.
What to work on
- Target success rate (Bottom 6%)
- Yards after catch (Bottom 17%)
- 1st down (-0.38 per play, vs +0.88 3rd/4th down)
Coaching notes
- By down. Best: 3rd/4th down (+0.88 per play). Toughest: 1st down (-0.38).
- Standard vs passing downs. Best: passing downs (+0.91 per play). Toughest: standard downs (-0.23).
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Players like Wilson
The closest matches at his position across every stat, not just the total.
- 79%match
+0.07 points added per game
Compare to Wilson - 71%match
-0.01 points added per game
Compare to Wilson - 70%match
+0.03 points added per game
Compare to Wilson
Situational splits
Points added per play (adjusted for opponents) and success rate in each situation.
By down
- 2nd down+0.56 EPA · 27% succ · 15 plays
- 3rd/4th down+0.88 EPA · 40% succ · 10 plays
- 1st down-0.38 EPA · 33% succ · 9 plays
Standard vs passing downs
- Passing downs+0.91 EPA · 37% succ · 19 plays
- Standard downs-0.23 EPA · 27% succ · 15 plays
Red zone
- Red zone-0.12 EPA · 20% succ · 5 plays
Against top defenses
- vs everyone else+0.47 EPA · 36% succ · 31 plays
- vs top-40 defenses-0.25 EPA · 0% succ · 3 plays
Short vs deep
- Short targets+0.13 EPA · 26% succ · 27 plays
- Deep targets+1.45 EPA · 57% succ · 7 plays
Season stats
| Tgt | Rec | Catch% | Rec Yds | Y/Tgt | Rec TD | aDOT | YAC | Tgt Shr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 21 | 61.8% | 276 | 8.1 | 1 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 13.8% |
Game log
| Wk | Opponent | Receiving | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsUT Rio Grande Valley | 2/2, 42 yds, 1 TD | +1.61 |
| 2 | at Texas State | 9/13, 83 yds, 0 TD | +0.13 |
| 3 | at Texas | 1/3, 8 yds, 0 TD | -0.25 |
| 4 | vs Colorado State | 3/5, 62 yds, 0 TD | +0.90 |
| 5 | at Rice | 1/3, 5 yds, 0 TD | -0.67 |
| 6 | vs South Florida | 2/4, 35 yds, 0 TD | +0.44 |
| 7 | vs Navy | 2/2, 25 yds, 0 TD | +1.61 |
| 8 | at Tulane | 1/2, 16 yds, 0 TD | +1.02 |