What the numbers say about Bailey
- •Heating up: +1.14 points per play over his last three games, up from +0.83 for the season.
- •Top 6% of wide receivers in target success rate (63.0%).
- •Ranks #88 of 368 wide receivers (top 24%) with +0.84 points added per game.
Against every FBS WR
Where he ranks among qualified players at his position.
- EPA per target0.87Top 8%
- Target success rate63.0%Top 6%
- Catch rate77.8%Top 8%
- Yards per target9.6Top 26%
- Average depth of target2.0Bottom 3%
- Yards after catch7.1Top 12%
- Target share15.4%Bottom 40%
What he does best
- Target success rate (Top 6%)
- EPA per target (Top 8%)
- Catch rate (Top 8%)
What to work on
- Yards per target (Top 26%, his lowest mark)
- 2nd down (+0.67 per play, vs +1.27 3rd/4th down)
No true weak spots at his position, so these are his lowest marks.
Coaching notes
- By down. Best: 3rd/4th down (+1.27 per play). Toughest: 2nd down (+0.67).
- Against top defenses. Best: vs everyone else (+0.97 per play). Toughest: vs top-40 defenses (+0.73).
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Players like Stockton
The closest matches at his position across every stat, not just the total.
- 84%match
+0.69 points added per game
Compare to Stockton - 75%match
+0.86 points added per game
Compare to Stockton - 73%match
+1.05 points added per game
Compare to Stockton
Situational splits
Points added per play (adjusted for opponents) and success rate in each situation.
By down
- 2nd down+0.67 EPA · 71% succ · 14 plays
- 3rd/4th down+1.27 EPA · 50% succ · 8 plays
- 1st down+0.79 EPA · 60% succ · 5 plays
Standard vs passing downs
- Passing downs+0.87 EPA · 53% succ · 15 plays
- Standard downs+0.87 EPA · 75% succ · 12 plays
Red zone
- Red zone+0.87 EPA · 50% succ · 2 plays
Against top defenses
- vs everyone else+0.97 EPA · 69% succ · 16 plays
- vs top-40 defenses+0.73 EPA · 55% succ · 11 plays
Short vs deep
- Short targets+0.86 EPA · 62% succ · 26 plays
- Deep targets+1.12 EPA · 100% succ · 1 plays
Season stats
| Tgt | Rec | Catch% | Rec Yds | Y/Tgt | Rec TD | aDOT | YAC | Tgt Shr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 21 | 77.8% | 260 | 9.6 | 2 | 2.0 | 7.1 | 15.4% |
Game log
| Wk | Opponent | Receiving | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs | 2/2, 20 yds, 1 TD | +1.33 |
| 2 | vsCampbell | 2/2, 35 yds, 0 TD | +0.67 |
| 3 | at | 2/3, 12 yds, 0 TD | -0.02 |
| 4 | vs | 4/5, 33 yds, 0 TD | +0.39 |
| 5 | at | 2/3, 25 yds, 0 TD | +1.06 |
| 6 | vs | 5/7, 104 yds, 1 TD | +1.37 |
| 7 | at | 4/5, 31 yds, 0 TD | +0.98 |
