#281
of 368 wide receivers · Bottom 25%
What the numbers say about Chance
- •Cooling off: -0.01 points per play over his last three games, down from +0.25 for the season.
- •Ranks #281 of 368 wide receivers (top 76%) with -0.17 points added per game.
Against every FBS WR
Where he ranks among qualified players at his position.
- EPA per target0.31Bottom 31%
- Target success rate40.7%Bottom 23%
- Catch rate49.4%Bottom 11%
- Yards per target5.8Bottom 13%
- Average depth of target9.8Top 35%
- Yards after catch2.3Bottom 6%
- Target share31.4%Top 1%
What he does best
- Target share (Top 1%)
What to work on
- Yards after catch (Bottom 6%)
- Catch rate (Bottom 11%)
- 2nd down (-0.04 per play, vs +0.90 3rd/4th down)
Coaching notes
- By down. Best: 3rd/4th down (+0.90 per play). Toughest: 2nd down (-0.04).
- Standard vs passing downs. Best: passing downs (+0.70 per play). Toughest: standard downs (+0.01).
- Short vs deep. Best: deep targets (+0.59 per play). Toughest: short targets (+0.23).
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Players like Morrow
The closest matches at his position across every stat, not just the total.
- 81%match
-0.16 points added per game
Compare to Morrow - 79%match
-0.16 points added per game
Compare to Morrow - 73%match
-0.43 points added per game
Compare to Morrow
Situational splits
Points added per play (adjusted for opponents) and success rate in each situation.
By down
- 1st down+0.04 EPA · 38% succ · 32 plays
- 3rd/4th down+0.90 EPA · 48% succ · 27 plays
- 2nd down-0.04 EPA · 36% succ · 22 plays
Standard vs passing downs
- Standard downs+0.01 EPA · 39% succ · 46 plays
- Passing downs+0.70 EPA · 43% succ · 35 plays
Red zone
- Red zone+0.66 EPA · 39% succ · 13 plays
Against top defenses
- vs everyone else+0.34 EPA · 42% succ · 76 plays
- vs top-40 defenses-0.18 EPA · 20% succ · 5 plays
Short vs deep
- Short targets+0.23 EPA · 41% succ · 64 plays
- Deep targets+0.59 EPA · 41% succ · 17 plays
Season stats
| Tgt | Rec | Catch% | Rec Yds | Y/Tgt | Rec TD | aDOT | YAC | Tgt Shr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 40 | 49.4% | 468 | 5.8 | 5 | 9.8 | 2.3 | 31.4% |
Game log
| Wk | Opponent | Receiving | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsUAlbany | 7/14, 48 yds, 3 TD | +0.55 |
| 2 | at Florida International | 11/17, 173 yds, 1 TD | +0.85 |
| 3 | at Penn State | 1/5, 16 yds, 0 TD | -0.18 |
| 4 | vsRobert Morris | 5/11, 58 yds, 1 TD | -0.03 |
| 5 | vs Western Michigan | 7/9, 90 yds, 0 TD | +0.85 |
| 6 | at Toledo | 2/12, 17 yds, 0 TD | -0.34 |
| 7 | vs Massachusetts | 3/8, 27 yds, 0 TD | -0.30 |
| 8 | vs Bowling Green | 4/5, 39 yds, 0 TD | +0.61 |