What the numbers say about Fredrick
- •Heating up: +1.62 points per play over his last three games, up from +0.60 for the season.
- •Ranks #289 of 368 wide receivers (top 79%) with -0.23 points added per game.
Against every FBS WR
Where he ranks among qualified players at his position.
- EPA per target0.20Bottom 20%
- Target success rate50.0%Bottom 50%
- Catch rate56.2%Bottom 26%
- Yards per target5.4Bottom 8%
- Average depth of target6.5Bottom 30%
- Yards after catch3.2Bottom 20%
- Target share13.2%Bottom 24%
What he does best
No single stat in the top quarter at his position yet.
What to work on
- Yards per target (Bottom 8%)
- EPA per target (Bottom 20%)
- Vs top-40 defenses (+0.01 per play, vs +0.63 vs everyone else)
Coaching notes
- Against top defenses. Best: vs everyone else (+0.63 per play). Toughest: vs top-40 defenses (+0.01).
- By down. Best: 3rd/4th down (+0.31 per play). Toughest: 2nd down (+0.03).
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Players like Moore
The closest matches at his position across every stat, not just the total.
- 83%match
-0.30 points added per game
Compare to Moore - 82%match
-0.11 points added per game
Compare to Moore - 78%match
-0.23 points added per game
Compare to Moore
Situational splits
Points added per play (adjusted for opponents) and success rate in each situation.
By down
- 1st down+0.27 EPA · 57% succ · 14 plays
- 2nd down+0.03 EPA · 40% succ · 10 plays
- 3rd/4th down+0.31 EPA · 50% succ · 8 plays
Standard vs passing downs
- Standard downs+0.18 EPA · 55% succ · 20 plays
- Passing downs+0.25 EPA · 42% succ · 12 plays
Red zone
- Red zone-0.35 EPA · 0% succ · 1 plays
Against top defenses
- vs top-40 defenses+0.01 EPA · 41% succ · 22 plays
- vs everyone else+0.63 EPA · 70% succ · 10 plays
Short vs deep
- Short targets+0.24 EPA · 52% succ · 29 plays
- Deep targets-0.18 EPA · 33% succ · 3 plays
Season stats
| Tgt | Rec | Catch% | Rec Yds | Y/Tgt | Rec TD | aDOT | YAC | Tgt Shr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 18 | 56.2% | 174 | 5.4 | 0 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 13.2% |
Game log
| Wk | Opponent | Receiving | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs | 3/3, 25 yds, 0 TD | +0.38 |
| 2 | vs | 0/2, 0 yds, 0 TD | -0.86 |
| 3 | at | 2/3, 13 yds, 0 TD | +0.03 |
| 4 | vs | 4/5, 43 yds, 0 TD | +0.89 |
| 5 | at | 4/12, 23 yds, 0 TD | -0.49 |
| 6 | vs | 1/1, 18 yds, 0 TD | +3.09 |
| 7 | vs | 3/4, 43 yds, 0 TD | +0.95 |
| 8 | at | 1/2, 9 yds, 0 TD | +0.82 |
