#360
of 368 wide receivers · Bottom 3%
What the numbers say about Justin
- •Cooling off: -0.73 points per play over his last three games, down from -0.19 for the season.
- •Ranks #360 of 368 wide receivers (top 98%) with -0.89 points added per game.
Against every FBS WR
Where he ranks among qualified players at his position.
- EPA per target-0.35Bottom 1%
- Target success rate18.2%Bottom 1%
- Catch rate40.9%Bottom 3%
- Yards per target2.5Bottom 1%
- Average depth of target1.1Bottom 2%
- Yards after catch4.5Bottom 44%
- Target share20.1%Top 31%
What he does best
No single stat in the top quarter at his position yet.
What to work on
- EPA per target (Bottom 1%)
- Target success rate (Bottom 1%)
- Standard downs (-0.69 per play, vs -0.11 passing downs)
Coaching notes
- Standard vs passing downs. Best: passing downs (-0.11 per play). Toughest: standard downs (-0.69).
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Players like Jr.
The closest matches at his position across every stat, not just the total.
- 75%match
-0.98 points added per game
Compare to Jr. - 75%match
-0.66 points added per game
Compare to Jr. - 74%match
-0.51 points added per game
Compare to Jr.
Situational splits
Points added per play (adjusted for opponents) and success rate in each situation.
By down
- 3rd/4th down-0.20 EPA · 20% succ · 10 plays
- 1st down-0.70 EPA · 0% succ · 7 plays
- 2nd down-0.16 EPA · 40% succ · 5 plays
Standard vs passing downs
- Passing downs-0.11 EPA · 23% succ · 13 plays
- Standard downs-0.69 EPA · 11% succ · 9 plays
Red zone
- Red zone+0.79 EPA · 100% succ · 1 plays
Against top defenses
- vs everyone else-0.45 EPA · 20% succ · 15 plays
- vs top-40 defenses-0.13 EPA · 14% succ · 7 plays
Short vs deep
- Short targets-0.06 EPA · 24% succ · 17 plays
- Deep targets-1.34 EPA · 0% succ · 5 plays
Season stats
| Tgt | Rec | Catch% | Rec Yds | Y/Tgt | Rec TD | aDOT | YAC | Tgt Shr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 54 | 2.5 | 0 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 20.1% |
Game log
| Wk | Opponent | Receiving | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at New Mexico | 2/4, 4 yds, 0 TD | -0.08 |
| 2 | vsColgate | 1/2, 18 yds, 0 TD | +1.31 |
| 4 | at Miami | 2/3, 10 yds, 0 TD | -0.20 |
| 5 | vs Akron | 2/5, 11 yds, 0 TD | -0.51 |
| 7 | vs Western Michigan | 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD | -0.83 |
| 8 | vs Miami (OH) | 2/7, 11 yds, 0 TD | -0.85 |