What the numbers say about Justin
- •Top 2% of wide receivers in target success rate (68.2%).
- •Ranks #23 of 368 wide receivers (top 6%) with +2.00 points added per game.
Against every FBS WR
Where he ranks among qualified players at his position.
- EPA per target0.94Top 5%
- Target success rate68.2%Top 2%
- Catch rate79.5%Top 5%
- Yards per target13.2Top 2%
- Average depth of target10.4Top 28%
- Yards after catch3.5Bottom 26%
- Target share19.9%Top 32%
What he does best
- Target success rate (Top 2%)
- Yards per target (Top 2%)
- EPA per target (Top 5%)
What to work on
- Yards after catch (Bottom 26%)
- Short targets (+0.69 per play, vs +1.91 deep targets)
Coaching notes
- Short vs deep. Best: deep targets (+1.91 per play). Toughest: short targets (+0.69).
- By down. Best: 1st down (+1.11 per play). Toughest: 2nd down (+0.48).
- Standard vs passing downs. Best: standard downs (+1.05 per play). Toughest: passing downs (+0.76).
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Players like Stevenson
The closest matches at his position across every stat, not just the total.
- 84%match
+2.81 points added per game
Compare to Stevenson - 75%match
+1.58 points added per game
Compare to Stevenson - 72%match
+1.49 points added per game
Compare to Stevenson
Situational splits
Points added per play (adjusted for opponents) and success rate in each situation.
By down
- 1st down+1.11 EPA · 70% succ · 23 plays
- 2nd down+0.48 EPA · 64% succ · 11 plays
- 3rd/4th down+1.06 EPA · 70% succ · 10 plays
Standard vs passing downs
- Standard downs+1.05 EPA · 71% succ · 28 plays
- Passing downs+0.76 EPA · 63% succ · 16 plays
Red zone
- Red zone+0.43 EPA · 50% succ · 10 plays
Against top defenses
- vs everyone else+0.84 EPA · 67% succ · 42 plays
- vs top-40 defenses+3.12 EPA · 100% succ · 2 plays
Short vs deep
- Short targets+0.69 EPA · 66% succ · 35 plays
- Deep targets+1.91 EPA · 78% succ · 9 plays
Season stats
| Tgt | Rec | Catch% | Rec Yds | Y/Tgt | Rec TD | aDOT | YAC | Tgt Shr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 35 | 79.5% | 581 | 13.2 | 5 | 10.4 | 3.5 | 19.9% |
Game log
| Wk | Opponent | Receiving | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at | 2/2, 47 yds, 0 TD | +3.12 |
| 2 | vs | 1/3, 27 yds, 0 TD | +0.62 |
| 3 | at | 9/11, 118 yds, 0 TD | +0.22 |
| 4 | vsHouston Christian | 3/4, 48 yds, 0 TD | +0.56 |
| 5 | at | 5/6, 50 yds, 2 TD | +1.49 |
| 6 | vs | 7/10, 82 yds, 1 TD | +0.32 |
| 8 | at | 8/8, 209 yds, 2 TD | +2.06 |
