What the numbers say about Justus
- •Cooling off: -0.29 points per play over his last three games, down from +0.19 for the season.
Against every FBS WR
Where he ranks among qualified players at his position.
- EPA per target0.62Top 29%
- Target success rate52.6%Top 36%
- Catch rate63.2%Bottom 49%
- Yards per target8.9Top 37%
- Average depth of target12.4Top 13%
- Yards after catch0.6Bottom 1%
- Target share8.3%Bottom 2%
What he does best
- Average depth of target (Top 13%)
What to work on
- Yards after catch (Bottom 1%)
- Catch rate (Bottom 49%, his lowest mark)
- Standard downs (+0.14 per play, vs +1.27 passing downs)
Coaching notes
- Standard vs passing downs. Best: passing downs (+1.27 per play). Toughest: standard downs (+0.14).
Share this graphicPreview ↗His scouting card as an Instagram-ready image
Situational splits
Points added per play (adjusted for opponents) and success rate in each situation.
By down
- 1st down+0.32 EPA · 56% succ · 9 plays
- 3rd/4th down+1.65 EPA · 67% succ · 6 plays
- 2nd down-0.26 EPA · 25% succ · 4 plays
Standard vs passing downs
- Standard downs+0.14 EPA · 46% succ · 11 plays
- Passing downs+1.27 EPA · 63% succ · 8 plays
Red zone
- Red zone-0.32 EPA · 0% succ · 1 plays
Against top defenses
- vs everyone else+0.74 EPA · 53% succ · 15 plays
- vs top-40 defenses+0.15 EPA · 50% succ · 4 plays
Short vs deep
- Short targets+0.59 EPA · 54% succ · 13 plays
- Deep targets+0.67 EPA · 50% succ · 6 plays
Season stats
| Tgt | Rec | Catch% | Rec Yds | Y/Tgt | Rec TD | aDOT | YAC | Tgt Shr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 12 | 63.2% | 170 | 8.9 | 0 | 12.4 | 0.6 | 8.3% |
Game log
| Wk | Opponent | Receiving | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | 6/8, 105 yds, 0 TD | +1.15 |
| 3 | at | 1/3, 25 yds, 0 TD | +0.14 |
| 5 | at | 3/4, 31 yds, 0 TD | +0.75 |
| 6 | at | 1/2, 4 yds, 0 TD | -0.04 |
| 7 | vs | 1/1, 5 yds, 0 TD | +0.20 |
| 8 | at | 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD | -1.03 |
