What the numbers say about Lucas
- •Top 1% of running backs in rushing success rate (65.5%).
- •Heating up: +0.60 points per play over his last three games, up from +0.43 for the season.
Against every FBS RB
Where he ranks among qualified players at his position.
- EPA per carry0.37Top 7%
- Rush success rate65.5%Top 1%
- Yards per carry6.5Top 11%
- Explosive run rate13.8%Top 11%
- Stuffed rate13.8%Top 39%
- Carry share16.3%Bottom 3%
- EPA per target0.34Top 32%
What he does best
- Rush success rate (Top 1%)
- EPA per carry (Top 7%)
- Yards per carry (Top 11%)
What to work on
- Avoiding stuffs (Top 39%, his lowest mark)
- EPA per target (Top 32%, his lowest mark)
- Standard downs (+0.09 per play, vs +0.77 passing downs)
No true weak spots at his position, so these are his lowest marks.
Coaching notes
- Standard vs passing downs. Best: passing downs (+0.77 per play). Toughest: standard downs (+0.09).
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Situational splits
Points added per play (adjusted for opponents) and success rate in each situation.
By down
- 1st down+0.28 EPA · 58% succ · 12 plays
- 2nd down+0.17 EPA · 70% succ · 10 plays
- 3rd/4th down+0.81 EPA · 71% succ · 7 plays
Standard vs passing downs
- Standard downs+0.09 EPA · 65% succ · 17 plays
- Passing downs+0.77 EPA · 67% succ · 12 plays
Red zone
- Red zone-0.63 EPA · 50% succ · 2 plays
Against top defenses
- vs everyone else+0.37 EPA · 66% succ · 29 plays
Direction
- Middle+0.47 EPA · 67% succ · 21 plays
- Right+0.31 EPA · 80% succ · 5 plays
- Left-0.24 EPA · 33% succ · 3 plays
Season stats
| Car | Rush Yds | YPC | Rush TD | Expl% | Stuff% | Car Shr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 189 | 6.5 | 1 | 13.8% | 13.8% | 16.3% |
| Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | 78 | 0 |
Game log
| Wk | Opponent | Rushing | Receiving | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsEastern Kentucky | 4 car, 10 yds, 0 TD | 1/2, 14 yds, 0 TD | -0.41 |
| 2 | at | 4 car, 12 yds, 0 TD | 3/3, 34 yds, 0 TD | -0.20 |
| 3 | vs | 4 car, 44 yds, 1 TD | 0/2, 0 yds, 0 TD | +1.37 |
| 4 | vs | 12 car, 94 yds, 0 TD | 2/2, 24 yds, 0 TD | +0.44 |
| 6 | at | 3 car, 3 yds, 0 TD | 1/1, 6 yds, 0 TD | -0.20 |
| 7 | vs | 2 car, 26 yds, 0 TD | — | +1.57 |
