#211
of 218 running backs · Bottom 4%
-1.74
points added per game vs an average RB
Rushing -1.55Receiving -0.187 games
Compare to another playerWhat the numbers say about Messiah
- •Ranks #211 of 218 running backs (top 97%) with -1.74 points added per game.
Against every FBS RB
Where he ranks among qualified players at his position.
- EPA per carry0.01Bottom 25%
- Rush success rate37.0%Bottom 17%
- Yards per carry5.3Top 35%
- Explosive run rate7.4%Bottom 35%
- Stuffed rate12.6%Top 32%
- Carry share51.6%Top 11%
- EPA per target-0.45Bottom 10%
What he does best
- Carry share (Top 11%)
What to work on
- EPA per target (Bottom 10%)
- Rush success rate (Bottom 17%)
- Standard downs (-0.06 per play, vs +0.25 passing downs)
Coaching notes
- Standard vs passing downs. Best: passing downs (+0.25 per play). Toughest: standard downs (-0.06).
- By down. Best: 3rd/4th down (+0.14 per play). Toughest: 1st down (-0.07).
- Direction. Best: right (+0.12 per play). Toughest: middle (-0.06).
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Players like Burch
The closest matches at his position across every stat, not just the total.
- 67%match
-1.10 points added per game
Compare to Burch - 64%match
-1.39 points added per game
Compare to Burch - 61%match
-0.69 points added per game
Compare to Burch
Situational splits
Points added per play (adjusted for opponents) and success rate in each situation.
By down
- 1st down-0.07 EPA · 32% succ · 74 plays
- 2nd down+0.10 EPA · 45% succ · 51 plays
- 3rd/4th down+0.14 EPA · 30% succ · 10 plays
Standard vs passing downs
- Standard downs-0.06 EPA · 38% succ · 105 plays
- Passing downs+0.25 EPA · 33% succ · 30 plays
Red zone
- Red zone+0.15 EPA · 33% succ · 21 plays
Against top defenses
- vs everyone else+0.02 EPA · 39% succ · 129 plays
- vs top-40 defenses-0.24 EPA · 0% succ · 6 plays
Direction
- Middle-0.06 EPA · 31% succ · 68 plays
- Left+0.05 EPA · 44% succ · 34 plays
- Right+0.12 EPA · 42% succ · 33 plays
Season stats
| Car | Rush Yds | YPC | Rush TD | Expl% | Stuff% | Car Shr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 716 | 5.3 | 4 | 7.4% | 12.6% | 51.6% |
| Tgt | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
Game log
| Wk | Opponent | Rushing | Receiving | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsUAlbany | 8 car, 74 yds, 0 TD | 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD | +0.08 |
| 2 | at Florida International | 11 car, 24 yds, 0 TD | 2/2, 6 yds, 0 TD | -0.37 |
| 3 | at Penn State | 6 car, 10 yds, 0 TD | 2/2, 3 yds, 0 TD | -0.24 |
| 4 | vsRobert Morris | 26 car, 146 yds, 0 TD | 1/2, 9 yds, 0 TD | +0.01 |
| 5 | vs Western Michigan | 23 car, 106 yds, 1 TD | 1/1, -5 yds, 0 TD | +0.12 |
| 7 | vs Massachusetts | 28 car, 172 yds, 0 TD | 0/1, 0 yds, 0 TD | +0.09 |
| 8 | vs Bowling Green | 33 car, 184 yds, 3 TD | — | +0.02 |