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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Alex Chaikin

UC San Diego · Guard · Junior · 6-5 · #10

Returning

#1425Overall
+0.07Projected impact
  • #717 guard in the country
  • #779 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 24 minutes a game) at UC San Diego, as a floor spacer. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
24
Spot in the rotation
#4

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at UC San Diego: 34 games, 17 starts, 25 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game9.756thMM #305
  • Rebounds per game2.128thMM #556
  • Assists per game1.231stMM #526
  • Steals per game0.629thMM #532
  • Blocks per game0.379thMM #118
  • Turnovers per game1.253rdMM #393
  • Field goal %39.6%(101-255)32ndMM #550
  • 3-point %39.4%(76-193)86thMM #115
  • Free throw %80.3%(53-66)67thMM #243

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate19.4%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating110.651stMM #345

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating106.470thMM #242

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %58.3%77thMM #177

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %54.5%79thMM #175

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.9819thMM #651

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %20.0%43rdMM #489

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate25.9%37thMM #517

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.10454thMM #309

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Alex Chaikin

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • T.J. Caldwell

    UAB · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Arkansas State

    +0.07 impact · 9.4 pts · 2.7 reb · 1 ast

    Compare
  • Tajuan Simpkins

    Mississippi State · G · Senior

    70%match

    Transfer from Seton Hall

    +0.32 impact · 9.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Rodney Brown Jr.

    Seton Hall · G · Senior

    70%match

    Transfer from Loyola Marymount

    +0.02 impact · 14 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.7 ast

    Compare
  • Quinton Perkins II

    Mercer · G · Senior

    70%match

    Returning

    +0.02 impact · 8.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare
  • Ben Roseborough

    Towson · G · Sophomore

    70%match

    Transfer from San José State

    +0.10 impact · 12 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Austin Hunt

    Harvard · G · Junior

    69%match

    Returning

    +0.12 impact · 6.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).