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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

T.J. Caldwell

UAB · Guard · Senior · 6-4 · #55

Transfer from Arkansas State

#1407Overall
+0.07Projected impact
  • #711 guard in the country
  • #796 in the transfer portal
  • #765 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 18 minutes a game) at UAB, as a secondary scorer: a role like the one he had at Arkansas State (20.2 min).

Projected minutes
18
Spot in the rotation
#4

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Arkansas State: 32 games, 6 starts, 20.2 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game9.453rdMM #327
  • Rebounds per game2.746thMM #405
  • Assists per game1.023rdMM #604
  • Steals per game0.848thMM #371
  • Blocks per game0.379thMM #118
  • Turnovers per game1.346thMM #453
  • Field goal %39.1%(92-235)28thMM #578
  • 3-point %33.8%(44-130)50thMM #379
  • Free throw %82.8%(72-87)78thMM #155

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate22.6%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating112.759thMM #283

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating107.365thMM #289

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %54.9%53rdMM #354

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %48.5%37thMM #491

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.769thMM #746

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %31.8%85thMM #145

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate37.0%68thMM #270

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.12469thMM #173

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like T.J. Caldwell

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Braxton Stacker

    UNC Greensboro · G · Senior

    75%match

    Transfer from Southeast Missouri State

    +0.10 impact · 11.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.4 ast

    Compare
  • Tyler Jackson

    Hampton · G · Sophomore

    72%match

    Transfer from Eastern Kentucky

    +0.01 impact · 8.6 pts · 2 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Alex Chaikin

    UC San Diego · G · Junior

    72%match

    Returning

    +0.06 impact · 9.7 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Jaden Alexander

    Cal State Bakersfield · G · Senior

    72%match

    Returning

    -0.04 impact · 9.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast

    Compare
  • Myles Colvin

    Cincinnati · G · Senior

    71%match

    Transfer from Wake Forest

    +0.50 impact · 11.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast

    Compare
  • Andy Johnson

    UIC · G · Sophomore

    70%match

    Returning

    +0.19 impact · 11.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.7 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).