College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

B.J. Davis-Ray

Northern Kentucky · Guard · Sophomore · 6-6 · #9

Transfer from SMU

#2449Overall

-0.14Projected impact

#1293 guard in the country
#1228 in the transfer portal
#1651 mid-major player

Compare to another player Share this graphicPreview ↗

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 16 minutes a game) at Northern Kentucky: a bigger role than he had at SMU (7.1 min).

Projected minutes: 16
Spot in the rotation: #5

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at SMU: 32 games, 0 starts, 7.1 minutes a game.

Points per game1.21st
Rebounds per game0.71st
Assists per game0.43rd
Steals per game0.35th
Blocks per game0.011th
Turnovers per game0.398th
Field goal %35.6%(16-45)10th
3-point %21.7%(5-23)6th
Free throw %75.0%(3-4)43rd

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

Usage rate12.0%style
Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor
Offensive rating94.99th
Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses
Defensive rating113.824th
Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)
True shooting %42.8%3rd
Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws
Effective FG %41.1%7th
Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2
Assist-to-turnover1.3344th
Assists for every turnover
Offensive rebound %39.1%96th
Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor
Free-throw rate8.9%2nd
Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts
Win shares per 40.0185th
Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Small sample: under 300 minutes last season.

Northern Kentucky teammates

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).