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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Ethan Elliott

Northern Kentucky · Guard · Sophomore · 6-1 · #6

Returning

#1458Overall
+0.06Projected impact
  • #733 guard in the country
  • #806 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 25 minutes a game) at Northern Kentucky, as a lead playmaker. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
25
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Northern Kentucky: 32 games, 31 starts, 28.5 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game5.120thMM #660
  • Rebounds per game2.849thMM #371
  • Assists per game4.695thMM #23
  • Steals per game1.065thMM #229
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game1.441stMM #504
  • Field goal %33.5%(62-185)6thMM #786
  • 3-point %25.6%(21-82)12thMM #724
  • Free throw %48.6%(17-35)2ndMM #824

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate13.0%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating102.023rdMM #612

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating111.935thMM #524

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %40.4%1stMM #826

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %39.2%4thMM #803

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover3.3298thMM #11

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %19.3%40thMM #525

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate18.9%17thMM #686

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.04815thMM #688

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Ethan Elliott

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Jaden Johnson

    La Salle · G · Junior

    72%match

    Returning

    -0.02 impact · 6.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 4.1 ast

    Compare
  • Jalen Reece

    Texas A&M · G · Sophomore

    71%match

    Transfer from LSU

    +0.26 impact · 5.8 pts · 1.9 reb · 3.6 ast

    Compare
  • Jaye Nash

    UConn · G · Junior

    71%match

    Transfer from Jacksonville State

    0.00 impact · 5.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 4 ast

    Compare
  • Brock Harding

    TCU · G · Senior

    71%match

    Returning

    +0.68 impact · 8.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 5.5 ast

    Compare
  • Danny Carbuccia

    Massachusetts · G · Sophomore

    71%match

    Returning

    +0.29 impact · 6.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 6.3 ast

    Compare
  • Mekhi Conner

    Incarnate Word · G · Junior

    69%match

    Transfer from Sacred Heart

    -0.05 impact · 7.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 6.3 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).