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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Bryce Heard

Wichita State · Guard · Junior · 6-6 · #1

Transfer from Dayton

#1061Overall
+0.19Projected impact
  • #530 guard in the country
  • #615 in the transfer portal
  • #497 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 18 minutes a game) at Wichita State: a role like the one he had at Dayton (18.4 min).

Projected minutes
18
Spot in the rotation
#5

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Dayton: 36 games, 6 starts, 18.4 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game6.633rdMM #519
  • Rebounds per game2.437thMM #485
  • Assists per game0.815thMM #679
  • Steals per game0.411thMM #704
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game0.877thMM #176
  • Field goal %43.8%(71-162)64thMM #281
  • 3-point %36.6%(26-71)69thMM #225
  • Free throw %79.1%(68-86)62ndMM #284

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate18.2%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating114.465thMM #240

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating106.370thMM #240

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %59.0%81stMM #147

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %51.9%63rdMM #294

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.9618thMM #657

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %23.5%58thMM #366

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate53.1%92ndMM #75

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.11563rdMM #230

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Bryce Heard

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Jalen Stokes

    UC Davis · G · Sophomore

    81%match

    Returning

    +0.13 impact · 4.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare
  • Amar Amkou

    North Texas · G · Junior

    80%match

    Transfer from Florida Atlantic

    +0.18 impact · 5.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.4 ast

    Compare
  • Blake Harper

    VCU · G · Junior

    75%match

    Transfer from Creighton

    +0.38 impact · 7.7 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Shamarrie Hugie

    Austin Peay · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Marshall

    -0.01 impact · 4.3 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast

    Compare
  • Justus McNair

    Valparaiso · G · Junior

    71%match

    Returning

    +0.03 impact · 7.9 pts · 1.8 reb · 1 ast

    Compare
  • Nick Dorn

    Miami · G · Senior

    71%match

    Transfer from Indiana

    +0.11 impact · 8.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).